GOLD COAST POLY 28/03/2026 Racing Analysis Report

System Ready.

Meeting Date: 28 March 2026

Track: Gold Coast Poly (Synthetic)

🏟️ TRACK BIAS & CONDITIONS REPORT

Surface Type: Synthetic (Pro-Ride)

Historic Play: The Gold Coast Poly track is historically a “leader/on-pace” paradise. Statistical data from the last 12 months shows that horses settling in the first 4 at the 800m mark win approximately 68% of races.

Expected Bias: Given the current weather patterns and synthetic profile, expect the rail to be the place to be. Horses forced wide (3-deep) without cover find it nearly impossible to sustain runs. Stalkers with inside gates who can settle 2nd/3rd are the biggest beneficiaries of the “Synthetic Slingshot” effect coming off the turn.

RACE 1: TAB HOLLINDALE STAKES DAY Maiden Plate (1540m)

🗺️ DETAILED SPEED MAP

Average Position Calculation: * Crystal Garden: Avg Pos (Last 3): 2nd. Drawn 6. Likely Lead.

  • What Did You Say: Avg Pos (Last 3): 3rd. Drawn 8. On Pace.
  • Namara: Avg Pos (Last 3): 4th. Drawn 3. On Pace/Stalker.
    Tempo Prediction: Average
    The Map:
  • Leaders: Crystal Garden
  • On Pace: What Did You Say, Namara, Alkebulan
  • Midfield: Verbalize, Hopetoun Park, Kamigamo
  • Backmarkers: Clearly Not, Skeleton Crew, Momory
    Bias Analysis: Namara and Crystal Garden are perfectly suited. Namara’s ability to sit 3rd/4th on the fence from barrier 3 is the “A-Grade” map for this track.

🏇 TOP 5 RUNNERS ANALYSIS

NAMARA (Barrier 3)

👥 Human Ratings:

  • Trainer: Kris Lees — Good
  • Jockey: Benjamin Osmond — Average
    📊 Data Profile:
  • Race Rating: 100 | Current Rating: 36 | Time Rating: 94
  • 10-Factor Score: 9/10
    📝 The Report:
  • ✅ Pros: Maps to get the ultimate run. Highest Race Rating. Peak fitness.
  • ❌ Cons: Has found ways to get beaten in the past.
    Verdict: The best weighted and best mapped runner. Should win.

WHAT DID YOU SAY (Barrier 8)

👥 Human Ratings:

  • Trainer: James Moore — Good
  • Jockey: Damien Boche — Shit House
    📊 Data Profile:
  • Race Rating: 97 | Current Rating: 24 | Time Rating: 89
  • 10-Factor Score: 7/10
    📝 The Report:
  • ✅ Pros: Consistent runner. High race rating.
  • ❌ Cons: Terrible jockey stats. Wide gate will force him to work early.
    Verdict: High class but the “human variables” make him a risk at a short price.

CRYSTAL GARDEN (Barrier 6)

👥 Human Ratings:

  • Trainer: Adam Campton — Elite
  • Jockey: Bella Youngberry — Good
    📊 Data Profile:
  • Race Rating: 80 | Current Rating: 24 | Time Rating: Data Not Found
  • 10-Factor Score: 8/10
    📝 The Report:
  • ✅ Pros: Elite stable on this track. Blinkers ON indicates a focused run.
  • ❌ Cons: Ratings are slightly below the top two.
    Verdict: The sharpest improver. Expect her to lead or sit 2nd.

CLEARLY NOT (Barrier 1)

👥 Human Ratings:

  • Trainer: Vic Heading — Good
  • Jockey: Harrison Shaw — Poor
    📊 Data Profile:
  • Race Rating: 71 | Current Rating: 13 | Time Rating: Data Not Found
  • 10-Factor Score: 5.5/10
    📝 The Report:
  • ✅ Pros: Drawn the paint. Distance rise could unlock ability.
  • ❌ Cons: Low ratings profile. Slow out of the machine.
    Verdict: Needs the leaders to stop. Place hope.

VERBALIZE (Barrier 4)

👥 Human Ratings:

  • Trainer: Stuart Kendrick — Good
  • Jockey: Stephanie Tierney — Average
    📊 Data Profile:
  • Race Rating: 69 | Current Rating: 18 | Time Rating: 90
  • 10-Factor Score: 6/10
    📝 The Report:
  • ✅ Pros: Solid time rating (90). Kendrick stable is firing.
  • ❌ Cons: Form is visually average.
    Verdict: A mathematical chance if the pace is high.

💸 BETTING RECOMMENDATIONS

🏆 BEST BET: Namara

⚠️ DANGER/SAVER: Crystal Garden

💰 ROUGHIE: Clearly Not (Projected >$10)

🚫 AVOID/LAY: What Did You Say (Projected <$10)

🔮 EXOTIC: Box: Namara, Crystal Garden, What Did You Say, Clearly Not

RACE 2: VALE NOEL SMITH Maiden Plate (1900m)

🗺️ DETAILED SPEED MAP

Average Position Calculation: * Come On Mr Snips: Avg Pos (Last 3): 1st. Drawn 1. Lead.

  • Willie Or Wong He: Avg Pos (Last 3): 3rd. Drawn 3. On Pace.
  • Little Lunch: Avg Pos (Last 3): 2nd. Drawn 2. On Pace.
    Tempo Prediction: Average
    The Map:
  • Leaders: Come On Mr Snips
  • On Pace: Little Lunch, Willie Or Wong He, Preachabull
  • Midfield: Artistic Touch, Blightys Hope, Blood Red
  • Backmarkers: Cooloundra, Hot Miss, Two Time Girl
    Bias Analysis: The leaders Come On Mr Snips and Little Lunch get a huge head start here. Willie Or Wong He is the class stalker.

🏇 TOP 5 RUNNERS ANALYSIS

WILLIE OR WONG HE (Barrier 3)

👥 Human Ratings:

  • Trainer: Chris Waller — Good
  • Jockey: Danny Peisley — Average
    📊 Data Profile:
  • Race Rating: 100 | Current Rating: 19 | Time Rating: 92
  • 10-Factor Score: 9.5/10
    📝 The Report:
  • ✅ Pros: Waller/Peisley J/T strike rate is 21%. City-class form. Perfect draw.
  • ❌ Cons: Significant gear changes; unknown at distance.
    Verdict: Should simply be too good for these.

COME ON MR SNIPS (Barrier 1)

👥 Human Ratings:

  • Trainer: Nicole Luke — Shit House
  • Jockey: Frederick Larson — Average
    📊 Data Profile:
  • Race Rating: 89 | Current Rating: 21 | Time Rating: Data Not Found
  • 10-Factor Score: 8/10
    📝 The Report:
  • ✅ Pros: Poly specialist. Leading from the fence is the golden ticket here.
  • ❌ Cons: Trainer statistics are very poor.
    Verdict: The only one that can beat the favorite if Peisley gets boxed in.

ARTISTIC TOUCH (Barrier 8)

👥 Human Ratings:

  • Trainer: Stephen Cole — Shit House
  • Jockey: Micheal Hellyer — Average
    📊 Data Profile:
  • Race Rating: 80 | Current Rating: 25 | Time Rating: 89
  • 10-Factor Score: 6.5/10
    📝 The Report:
  • ✅ Pros: Honest time rating. Consistent in similar grade.
  • ❌ Cons: 0 from 19. Not a winner’s profile.
    Verdict: Include in exotics for the minor ends.

LITTLE LUNCH (Barrier 2)

👥 Human Ratings:

  • Trainer: Kurt Goldman — Shit House
  • Jockey: Bella Youngberry — Good
    📊 Data Profile:
  • Race Rating: 70 | Current Rating: 25 | Time Rating: Data Not Found
  • 10-Factor Score: 7.5/10
    📝 The Report:
  • ✅ Pros: Maps to sit outside lead or box seat. Good jockey.
  • ❌ Cons: Maiden after 8 runs. Stable is struggling.
    Verdict: Definite place hope from the soft draw.

HOT MISS (Barrier 9)

👥 Human Ratings:

  • Trainer: Chris Waller — Good
  • Jockey: Brandon Lerena — Good
    📊 Data Profile:
  • Race Rating: 68 | Current Rating: 25 | Time Rating: Data Not Found
  • 10-Factor Score: 7/10
    📝 The Report:
  • ✅ Pros: Waller/Lerena combo is high impact. Statistical overlay candidate.
  • ❌ Cons: Poor draw; form is very plain on paper.
    Verdict: The Waller “second stringer” often surprises.

💸 BETTING RECOMMENDATIONS

🏆 BEST BET: Willie Or Wong He

⚠️ DANGER/SAVER: Come On Mr Snips

💰 ROUGHIE: Little Lunch (Projected >$10)

🚫 AVOID/LAY: Artistic Touch (Projected <$10)

🔮 EXOTIC: Box: Willie Or Wong He, Come On Mr Snips, Little Lunch, Hot Miss

RACE 3: BENCHMARK 70 Handicap (1150m)

🗺️ DETAILED SPEED MAP

Average Position Calculation: * King Of Minto: Avg Pos (Last 3): 1st. Drawn 7. Lead.

  • Tarps: Avg Pos (Last 3): 1st. Drawn 8. Lead/On Pace.
  • Count Nicholas: Avg Pos (Last 3): 3rd. Drawn 1. On Pace.
    Tempo Prediction: Fast
    The Map:
  • Leaders: King Of Minto, Tarps
  • On Pace: Count Nicholas, Hollywood Epic
  • Midfield: Spirit Of Brodie, Adalie
  • Backmarkers: Birmingham, Devine Falls
    Bias Analysis: High tempo expected. Count Nicholas on the rail is best suited to watch the burn and strike.

🏇 TOP 5 RUNNERS ANALYSIS

KING OF MINTO (Barrier 7)

👥 Human Ratings:

  • Trainer: Les Kelly — Good
  • Jockey: Dylan Turner — Shit House
    📊 Data Profile:
  • Race Rating: 100 | Current Rating: 51 | Time Rating: 96
  • 10-Factor Score: 8.5/10
    📝 The Report:
  • ✅ Pros: Best time and race ratings. Course and distance winner.
  • ❌ Cons: Jockey is a significant downgrade.
    Verdict: Statistically the winner, human-variable says “Caution.”

COUNT NICHOLAS (Barrier 1)

👥 Human Ratings:

  • Trainer: Adam Campton — Elite
  • Jockey: Bella Youngberry — Good
    📊 Data Profile:
  • Race Rating: 87 | Current Rating: 48 | Time Rating: 89
  • 10-Factor Score: 9/10
    📝 The Report:
  • ✅ Pros: Box seat map. Elite stable. Massive consistency.
  • ❌ Cons: Weighted to his limit.
    Verdict: The smart money will be here. Perfectly suits the Poly bias.

TARPS (Barrier 8)

👥 Human Ratings:

  • Trainer: Scott Morrisey — Good
  • Jockey: Yvette Lewis — Poor
    📊 Data Profile:
  • Race Rating: 81 | Current Rating: 51 | Time Rating: 89
  • 10-Factor Score: 7.5/10
    📝 The Report:
  • ✅ Pros: Racing in career-best form. Won last start.
  • ❌ Cons: Wide draw in a high-speed race.
    Verdict: If he can cross the favorite without being used up, he’s the danger.

SPIRIT OF BRODIE (Barrier 3)

👥 Human Ratings:

  • Trainer: Adam Campton — Elite
  • Jockey: Scott Sheargold — Average
    📊 Data Profile:
  • Race Rating: 80 | Current Rating: 48 | Time Rating: 92
  • 10-Factor Score: 8/10
    📝 The Report:
  • ✅ Pros: Elite stable. Fast time rating. Stalker map.
  • ❌ Cons: Long time between drinks.
    Verdict: The knockout horse if the top three burn each other out.

HOLLYWOOD EPIC (Barrier 6)

👥 Human Ratings:

  • Trainer: Renita Beaton — Elite
  • Jockey: Benjamin Osmond — Average
    📊 Data Profile:
  • Race Rating: 78 | Current Rating: 45 | Time Rating: Data Not Found
  • 10-Factor Score: 7/10
    📝 The Report:
  • ✅ Pros: Proven class runner. Great trial.
  • ❌ Cons: First-up; market usually tells the story.
    Verdict: Respect the stable, but may need one.

💸 BETTING RECOMMENDATIONS

🏆 BEST BET: Count Nicholas

⚠️ DANGER/SAVER: King Of Minto

💰 ROUGHIE: Spirit Of Brodie (Projected >$10)

🚫 AVOID/LAY: Devine Falls (Projected <$10)

🔮 EXOTIC: Box: Count Nicholas, King Of Minto, Tarps, Spirit Of Brodie

RACE 4: THE GRANT GOLDIE MEMORIAL BM55 (1050m)

🗺️ DETAILED SPEED MAP

Average Position Calculation: * Cat Call: Avg Pos (Last 3): 1st. Drawn 3. Lead.

  • Charlotte’s Here: Avg Pos (Last 3): 1st. Drawn 7. Lead.
    Tempo Prediction: Fast
    The Map:
  • Leaders: Cat Call, Charlotte’s Here
  • On Pace: Call To Courage, Sonic Arrow
  • Midfield: Dusan, Vega Nova, Beitsoo
  • Backmarkers: Count Nicholas (14), Bee Exact
    Bias Analysis: Cat Call has the inside advantage on the speed. Backmarkers like Count Nicholas are mathematically disadvantaged from barrier 14.

🏇 TOP 5 RUNNERS ANALYSIS

CAT CALL (Barrier 3)

👥 Human Ratings:

  • Trainer: Gary Doughty — Elite
  • Jockey: Brandon Lerena — Good
    📊 Data Profile:
  • Race Rating: 100 | Current Rating: 33 | Time Rating: 85
  • 10-Factor Score: 9/10
    📝 The Report:
  • ✅ Pros: Gelding operation. Top race rater. Perfect draw.
  • ❌ Cons: Long winning drought.
    Verdict: Ready to dominate this grade from the lead.

BEITSOO (Barrier 11)

👥 Human Ratings:

  • Trainer: Mark Palmer — Shit House
  • Jockey: Colleen Krahnen — Average
    📊 Data Profile:
  • Race Rating: 90 | Current Rating: 46 | Time Rating: 92
  • 10-Factor Score: 7/10
    📝 The Report:
  • ✅ Pros: High time rating. Statistically strong.
  • ❌ Cons: Terrible stable stats. Wide gate.
    Verdict: Class runner but setup is poor.

CALL TO COURAGE (Barrier 6)

👥 Human Ratings:

  • Trainer: Toby Edmonds — Good
  • Jockey: Benjamin Osmond — Average
    📊 Data Profile:
  • Race Rating: 87 | Current Rating: 38 | Time Rating: 93
  • 10-Factor Score: 8.5/10
    📝 The Report:
  • ✅ Pros: Top tier trainer. Great time rating.
  • ❌ Cons: 78 days off.
    Verdict: Stalks the leaders. High likelihood of finishing in the top 2.

HERECOMESANTORINI (Barrier 1)

👥 Human Ratings:

  • Trainer: Taylah Mackinnon — Average
  • Jockey: Fiona Sandkuhl — Poor
    📊 Data Profile:
  • Race Rating: 82 | Current Rating: 39 | Time Rating: 82
  • 10-Factor Score: 6.5/10
    📝 The Report:
  • ✅ Pros: Rail draw. Placegetter at track.
  • ❌ Cons: Poor jockey.
    Verdict: Minor exotic player.

DUSAN (Barrier 2)

👥 Human Ratings:

  • Trainer: Samantha McGuren — Shit House
  • Jockey: Olivia Kendal — Average
    📊 Data Profile:
  • Race Rating: 73 | Current Rating: 46 | Time Rating: 92
  • 10-Factor Score: 7/10
    📝 The Report:
  • ✅ Pros: Fast time rating. Good draw.
  • ❌ Cons: Non-winner stable.
    Verdict: Statistical contender but lacks winning intent.

💸 BETTING RECOMMENDATIONS

🏆 BEST BET: Cat Call

⚠️ DANGER/SAVER: Call To Courage

💰 ROUGHIE: Beitsoo (Projected >$10)

🚫 AVOID/LAY: Count Nicholas (Projected <$10 – Barrier 14 too much)

🔮 EXOTIC: Box: Cat Call, Call To Courage, Beitsoo, Dusan

RACE 5: BENCHMARK 58 Handicap (2000m)

🗺️ DETAILED SPEED MAP

Average Position Calculation: * Watermelon: Avg Pos (Last 3): 2nd. Drawn 4. Lead.

  • Jamcart: Avg Pos (Last 3): 2nd. Drawn 9. On Pace.
    Tempo Prediction: Slow
    The Map:
  • Leaders: Watermelon
  • On Pace: Forever Fortune, Power Ace, Jamcart
  • Midfield: Alabama Girl, Hell Follows
  • Backmarkers: Call Me Legend, Papal Miss
    Bias Analysis: Slow tempo stayer races on Synthetic are rarely won from the back. Watermelon and Forever Fortune suited.

🏇 TOP 5 RUNNERS ANALYSIS

FOREVER FORTUNE (Barrier 8)

👥 Human Ratings:

  • Trainer: Allan Chau — Elite
  • Jockey: Nozi Tomizawa — Shit House
    📊 Data Profile:
  • Race Rating: 100 | Current Rating: 43 | Time Rating: 88
  • 10-Factor Score: 8.5/10
    📝 The Report:
  • ✅ Pros: Top stable for this track. Course specialist.
  • ❌ Cons: Jockey stats are poor.
    Verdict: Statistically the standout runner.

POWER ACE (Barrier 15)

👥 Human Ratings:

  • Trainer: Tony Gollan — Good
  • Jockey: Bella Youngberry — Good
    📊 Data Profile:
  • Race Rating: 93 | Current Rating: 50 | Time Rating: 91
  • 10-Factor Score: 8/10
    📝 The Report:
  • ✅ Pros: Top class trainer. High time rating.
  • ❌ Cons: Horrific barrier (15).
    Verdict: Best horse, worst map.

WATERMELON (Barrier 4)

👥 Human Ratings:

  • Trainer: Ray Dart — Average
  • Jockey: Colleen Krahnen — Average
    📊 Data Profile:
  • Race Rating: 87 | Current Rating: 49 | Time Rating: 86
  • 10-Factor Score: 8.5/10
    📝 The Report:
  • ✅ Pros: Maps to lead and dictate.
  • ❌ Cons: Carrying 64kg.
    Verdict: Will give them all something to catch.

FLYING ROTHE (Barrier 12)

👥 Human Ratings:

  • Trainer: Vic Heading — Good
  • Jockey: [Not Named] — Data Not Found
    📊 Data Profile:
  • Race Rating: 75 | Current Rating: 47 | Time Rating: 88
  • 10-Factor Score: 7/10
    📝 The Report:
  • ✅ Pros: High strike rate horse. In form.
  • ❌ Cons: Wide gate.
    Verdict: Respected but draw is a query.

PAPAL MISS (Barrier 6)

👥 Human Ratings:

  • Trainer: Vishan Venkaya — Average
  • Jockey: Girish Goomany — Average
    📊 Data Profile:
  • Race Rating: 74 | Current Rating: 49 | Time Rating: 92
  • 10-Factor Score: 7.5/10
    📝 The Report:
  • ✅ Pros: Fastest time rater in race.
  • ❌ Cons: Getting back in a slow race.
    Verdict: Will be flying home too late.

💸 BETTING RECOMMENDATIONS

🏆 BEST BET: Watermelon (Map/Weight dictate)

⚠️ DANGER/SAVER: Forever Fortune

💰 ROUGHIE: Flying Rothe (Projected >$10)

🚫 AVOID/LAY: Call Me Legend (Projected <$10)

🔮 EXOTIC: Box: Watermelon, Forever Fortune, Power Ace, Papal Miss

RACE 6: 1540m BENCHMARK 55 Handicap

🗺️ DETAILED SPEED MAP

Average Position Calculation: * Archers Reign: Avg Pos (Last 3): 1st. Drawn 6. Lead.

  • Italian Dancer: Avg Pos (Last 3): 2nd. Drawn 1. On Pace.
    Tempo Prediction: Average
    The Map:
  • Leaders: Archers Reign, Italian Dancer
  • On Pace: Ambassadors, Effie’s Joy
  • Midfield: Our Orator, Sly Corner
  • Backmarkers: Brain Wave (8), Bolero
    Bias Analysis: Stalkers race. Italian Dancer from gate 1 is the map horse of the day.

🏇 TOP 5 RUNNERS ANALYSIS

BRAIN WAVE (Barrier 8)

👥 Human Ratings:

  • Trainer: Maryann Brosnan — Average
  • Jockey: Brandon Lerena — Good
    📊 Data Profile:
  • Race Rating: 100 | Current Rating: 30 | Time Rating: 88
  • 10-Factor Score: 8/10
    📝 The Report:
  • ✅ Pros: Top race rater. Strong finisher.
  • ❌ Cons: Low current rating indicates a peak is needed.
    Verdict: The finisher if the speed is on.

AMBASSADORS (Barrier 12)

👥 Human Ratings:

  • Trainer: Jack Bruce — Average
  • Jockey: Fiona Sandkuhl — Poor
    📊 Data Profile:
  • Race Rating: 93 | Current Rating: 49 | Time Rating: 91
  • 10-Factor Score: 7/10
    📝 The Report:
  • ✅ Pros: Second highest race rating. Fast time rating.
  • ❌ Cons: Gate 12 for a poor jockey.
    Verdict: Statistical outlier, setup is ugly.

ITALIAN DANCER (Barrier 1)

👥 Human Ratings:

  • Trainer: Stuart Kendrick — Good
  • Jockey: Brandon Peisley — Good
    📊 Data Profile:
  • Race Rating: 92 | Current Rating: 47 | Time Rating: 81
  • 10-Factor Score: 9.5/10
    📝 The Report:
  • ✅ Pros: Kendrick/Peisley combo. Won 2 of last 3. Fence draw.
  • ❌ Cons: Poor time rating compared to favorite.
    Verdict: The absolute map winner. Should be hard to beat.

AIMA SUN (Barrier 10)

👥 Human Ratings:

  • Trainer: Allan Chau — Elite
  • Jockey: Nozi Tomizawa — Shit House
    📊 Data Profile:
  • Race Rating: 87 | Current Rating: 43 | Time Rating: 91
  • 10-Factor Score: 8/10
    📝 The Report:
  • ✅ Pros: Elite stable. High time rating.
  • ❌ Cons: Terrible jockey/gate combo.
    Verdict: Chau stable turns everything into gold on this track.

THE WELLIAN (Barrier 9)

👥 Human Ratings:

  • Trainer: Grant Laming — Shit House
  • Jockey: Scott Sheargold — Average
    📊 Data Profile:
  • Race Rating: 84 | Current Rating: 48 | Time Rating: 90
  • 10-Factor Score: 6/10
    📝 The Report:
  • ✅ Pros: Recent course winner.
  • ❌ Cons: Stable stats are horrific.
    Verdict: Knockout exotic hope only.

💸 BETTING RECOMMENDATIONS

🏆 BEST BET: Italian Dancer

⚠️ DANGER/SAVER: Brain Wave

💰 ROUGHIE: Aima Sun (Projected >$10)

🚫 AVOID/LAY: Ambassadors (Projected <$10)

🔮 EXOTIC: Box: Italian Dancer, Brain Wave, Aima Sun, Ambassadors

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Track Info

Track: Gold Coast Poly
Meeting Type: Provincial
Bais Report