๐๏ธ TRACK BIAS & PENETROMETER REPORT
Current Conditions: Track Rated Soft 5 (Pent: 5.35).
Historical Context: Wodonga generally plays fairly, but over the 1100m and 1200m distances, there is a statistical advantage to horses drawn in barriers 1โ4 due to the short run to the first turn. Over the 1590m and 2050m distances, the track tends to favor those who can find the rail or a one-off position before the home bend.
Expected Bias: Given the current rating, expect the track to provide a slight advantage to “On-Pace” runners. Horses coming from the tail of the field will need a fast tempo to figure.
Suited by Bias: #1 En Mer (R1), #5 Poised (R3), #7 Heironaut (R5), #3 Moonlight Dream (R8).
RACE 1: Yackandandah Park Maiden Plate (2050m)
1. ๐บ๏ธ DETAILED SPEED MAP
Tempo Prediction: Average
The Map:
- Leaders: Mega Needs (5), Two Stroke Baby (9)
- On Pace: En Mer (6), Nothin’ Wong Here (4), Reel Latino (1)
- Midfield: Ateyate (8), Just Landed (2)
- Backmarkers: Miss Camelot (4), Ive Got The Power (7), Reelzaz (3)
Bias Analysis: Over 2050m, En Mer is ideally suited to sit just off the speed and strike.
2. ๐ TOP 5 RUNNERS ANALYSIS
EN MER (Barrier 6)
- ๐ฅ Human Ratings: Trainer: Nick Ryan โ Good | Jockey: Will Gordon โ Good
- ๐ Data Profile: Race Rating: 100 | Current Rating: 40 | Time Rating: 86 | 10-Factor Score: 8/10
- ๐ The Report:
- โ Pros: Highest Race Rating; elite jockey booking; distance suits.
- โ Cons: Still a maiden after 11 starts.
- Verdict: The class horse of the race; the ratings suggest this is his peak.
REEL LATINO (Barrier 1)
- ๐ฅ Human Ratings: Trainer: Bob Challis โ Shit House | Jockey: Brad Rawiller โ Good
- ๐ Data Profile: Race Rating: 85 | Current Rating: 27 | Time Rating: N/A | 10-Factor Score: 6/10
- ๐ The Report:
- โ Pros: Brad Rawiller takes the mount; ideal inside draw.
- โ Cons: Poor trainer strike rate.
- Verdict: Massive jockey upgrade makes him a top-three contender.
JUST LANDED (Barrier 2)
- ๐ฅ Human Ratings: Trainer: Ben Brisbourne โ Good | Jockey: Lachlan King โ Poor
- ๐ Data Profile: Race Rating: 84 | Current Rating: 28 | Time Rating: 86 | 10-Factor Score: 5/10
- ๐ The Report:
- โ Pros: Consistent place-getter; home track advantage.
- โ Cons: 20 starts for 0 wins; jockey out of form.
- Verdict: Reliable for exotics but finding it hard to win.
MEGA NEEDS (Barrier 5)
- ๐ฅ Human Ratings: Trainer: Bob Challis โ Shit House | Jockey: Logan McNeil โ Average
- ๐ Data Profile: Race Rating: 69 | Current Rating: 28 | Time Rating: N/A | 10-Factor Score: 5/10
- ๐ The Report:
- โ Pros: Likely leader; capable of dictating tempo.
- โ Cons: Beaten 11 lengths last start.
- Verdict: Speed influence; needs to bounce back to place.
ATEYATE (Barrier 8)
- ๐ฅ Human Ratings: Trainer: Busuttin & Young โ Average | Jockey: Zac Spain โ Shit House
- ๐ Data Profile: Race Rating: 68 | Current Rating: 38 | Time Rating: N/A | 10-Factor Score: 4/10
- ๐ The Report:
- โ Pros: High-profile stable; dropping in distance.
- โ Cons: Poor jockey form; wide gate.
- Verdict: Needs to improve sharply on recent efforts.
3. ๐ธ BETTING RECOMMENDATIONS
- ๐ BEST BET: #1 EN MER
- โ ๏ธ DANGER: #4 NOTHIN’ WONG HERE
- ๐ฐ ROUGHIE: #5 REEL LATINO
- ๐ซ LAY: #2 JUST LANDED (Under $5)
- ๐ฎ EXOTIC: Box: En Mer, Just Landed, Nothin’ Wong Here, Reel Latino
RACE 2: Wiesners Maiden Plate (1300m)
1. ๐บ๏ธ DETAILED SPEED MAP
Tempo Prediction: Average/Moderate
The Map:
- Leaders: Apple Eyes (9), Babushka’s Pride (6)
- On Pace: Gangster Paradise (8), Lady Of Bronte (1)
- Midfield: My Mate Tom (4), Shalaakei (3), Pure Warrior (5)
- Backmarkers: Her Legacy (7), Czech Republic (10)
Bias Analysis: Lady Of Bronte is drawn to exploit the inside bias.
2. ๐ TOP 5 RUNNERS ANALYSIS
HER LEGACY (Barrier 7)
- ๐ฅ Human Ratings: Trainer: Ben Brisbourne โ Good | Jockey: Liam Riordan โ Average
- ๐ Data Profile: Race Rating: 100 | Current Rating: 24 | Time Rating: N/A | 10-Factor Score: 7/10
- ๐ The Report:
- โ Pros: Top-rated by data; fits the class profile.
- โ Cons: Dropping significantly in distance.
- Verdict: The one to beat if she handles the shorter trip.
CZECH REPUBLIC (Barrier 10)
- ๐ฅ Human Ratings: Trainer: Mark Kavanagh โ Average | Jockey: Brad Rawiller โ Good
- ๐ Data Profile: Race Rating: 97 | Current Rating: 26 | Time Rating: N/A | 10-Factor Score: 6/10
- ๐ The Report:
- โ Pros: Strong jockey; trial form is solid.
- โ Cons: Barrier 10 is a major hurdle.
- Verdict: Talented, but the map is against him.
MY MATE TOM (Barrier 4)
- ๐ฅ Human Ratings: Trainer: Alicia MacPherson โ Shit House | Jockey: Cory Parish โ Average
- ๐ Data Profile: Race Rating: 93 | Current Rating: N/A | Time Rating: N/A | 10-Factor Score: 8/10
- ๐ The Report:
- โ Pros: Massive debut 2nd at Kilmore; drawn perfectly.
- โ Cons: Trainer stats are a worry.
- Verdict: The main danger; clear improvement expected.
LADY OF BRONTE (Barrier 1)
- ๐ฅ Human Ratings: Trainer: Busuttin & Young โ Average | Jockey: Zac Spain โ Shit House
- ๐ Data Profile: Race Rating: 83 | Current Rating: 0 | Time Rating: N/A | 10-Factor Score: 7/10
- ๐ The Report:
- โ Pros: Inside gate; metropolitan debut was solid.
- โ Cons: Jockey form is poor.
- Verdict: Maps for the run of the race.
SHALAAKEI (Barrier 3)
- ๐ฅ Human Ratings: Trainer: Hayes โ Good | Jockey: Blaike McDougall โ Poor
- ๐ Data Profile: Race Rating: 81 | Current Rating: 0 | Time Rating: N/A | 10-Factor Score: 6/10
- ๐ The Report:
- โ Pros: Elite stable; blinkers on.
- โ Cons: Jockey is cold.
- Verdict: Market watch essential; stable rarely leaves empty-handed.
3. ๐ธ BETTING RECOMMENDATIONS
- ๐ BEST BET: #2 MY MATE TOM
- โ ๏ธ DANGER: #9 LADY OF BRONTE
- ๐ฐ ROUGHIE: #8 HER LEGACY
- ๐ซ LAY: #1 GANGSTER PARADISE
- ๐ฎ EXOTIC: Box: My Mate Tom, Lady Of Bronte, Her Legacy, Shalaakei
RACE 3: Dyson Group Maiden Plate (1100m)
1. ๐บ๏ธ DETAILED SPEED MAP
Tempo Prediction: Fast
The Map:
- Leaders: Tutto Finito (7), Night Meeting (3), Poised (1)
- On Pace: Fierce Dreams (12), Flood The Bar (13)
- Midfield: Hot Stepping Hippy (8), Ninetyfiveinafifty (5)
- Backmarkers: Venatrix (14), Rudy Ruler (2)
Bias Analysis: High speed race. Poised holds the advantage on the rail.
2. ๐ TOP 5 RUNNERS ANALYSIS
POISED (Barrier 1)
- ๐ฅ Human Ratings: Trainer: Lloyd Kennewell โ Elite | Jockey: Craig Newitt โ Average
- ๐ Data Profile: Race Rating: 100 | Current Rating: 0 | Time Rating: 91 | 10-Factor Score: 9/10
- ๐ The Report:
- โ Pros: Elite trainer; best time rating; drawn 1.
- โ Cons: 7 starts without a win.
- Verdict: If she jumps, she wins. The data is overwhelming.
FIERCE DREAMS (Barrier 12)
- ๐ฅ Human Ratings: Trainer: Nick Ryan โ Good | Jockey: Blaike McDougall โ Poor
- ๐ Data Profile: Race Rating: 92 | Current Rating: 29 | Time Rating: N/A | 10-Factor Score: 6/10
- ๐ The Report:
- โ Pros: Very consistent; places often.
- โ Cons: Terrible gate (12).
- Verdict: A talent, but will need luck in running.
HOT STEPPING HIPPY (Barrier 8)
- ๐ฅ Human Ratings: Trainer: Simon Zahra โ Good | Jockey: Teo Nugent โ Shit House
- ๐ Data Profile: Race Rating: 57 | Current Rating: 26 | Time Rating: 87 | 10-Factor Score: 6/10
- ๐ The Report:
- โ Pros: Won a recent trial at Flemington.
- โ Cons: Jockey stats are abysmal.
- Verdict: Trial form suggests she is ready to strike.
MISS GOSSIP GIRL (Barrier 9)
- ๐ฅ Human Ratings: Trainer: Steven Noble โ Shit House | Jockey: Samantha Noble โ Shit House
- ๐ Data Profile: Race Rating: 42 | Current Rating: 27 | Time Rating: 88 | 10-Factor Score: 3/10
- ๐ The Report:
- โ Pros: Solid time rating.
- โ Cons: Everything else.
- Verdict: Statistical outlier; hard to back.
TUTTO FINITO (Barrier 7)
- ๐ฅ Human Ratings: Trainer: Craig Widdison โ Good | Jockey: Jason Lyon โ Poor
- ๐ Data Profile: Race Rating: 31 | Current Rating: N/A | Time Rating: N/A | 10-Factor Score: 7/10
- ๐ The Report:
- โ Pros: Promising Canberra debut.
- โ Cons: Low data race rating.
- Verdict: Local stable factor; could surprise.
3. ๐ธ BETTING RECOMMENDATIONS
- ๐ BEST BET: #5 POISED
- โ ๏ธ DANGER: #6 FIERCE DREAMS
- ๐ฐ ROUGHIE: #12 TUTTO FINITO
- ๐ซ LAY: #14 MISS GOSSIP GIRL
- ๐ฎ EXOTIC: Box: Poised, Fierce Dreams, Tutto Finito, Hot Stepping Hippy
RACE 4: Vale Henry Brewer Maiden Plate (1590m)
1. ๐บ๏ธ DETAILED SPEED MAP
Tempo Prediction: Average
The Map:
- Leaders: Midnight Eagle (7), So Vogue (8)
- On Pace: Untethered Soul (2), Deep Stream (10)
- Midfield: Online Profile (3), Salina Special (9)
- Backmarkers: Cee Rose (4), Thunderbolt Way (1)
Bias Analysis: Tactical race. Untethered Soul has the draw to stalk the lead.
2. ๐ TOP 5 RUNNERS ANALYSIS
DEEP STREAM (Barrier 10)
- ๐ฅ Human Ratings: Trainer: Ronald Tait โ Shit House | Jockey: Logan McNeil โ Average
- ๐ Data Profile: Race Rating: 100 | Current Rating: 27 | Time Rating: 75 | 10-Factor Score: 6/10
- ๐ The Report:
- โ Pros: Class horse on ratings; fittest in the field.
- โ Cons: 0 wins from 22 starts.
- Verdict: The “on paper” winner but a massive risk.
SO VOGUE (Barrier 8)
- ๐ฅ Human Ratings: Trainer: Ben Brisbourne โ Good | Jockey: Lachlan King โ Poor
- ๐ Data Profile: Race Rating: 90 | Current Rating: 28 | Time Rating: N/A | 10-Factor Score: 7/10
- ๐ The Report:
- โ Pros: Trial winner; big distance drop.
- โ Cons: Jockey form is weak.
- Verdict: Prepared for this specifically; major threat.
UNTETHERED SOUL (Barrier 2)
- ๐ฅ Human Ratings: Trainer: Ben Brisbourne โ Good | Jockey: Blaike McDougall โ Poor
- ๐ Data Profile: Race Rating: 87 | Current Rating: 28 | Time Rating: N/A | 10-Factor Score: 8/10
- ๐ The Report:
- โ Pros: Extremely consistent; perfect draw.
- โ Cons: Poor jockey strike rate.
- Verdict: The most reliable place bet of the day.
PRINCESS VONLOZZI (Barrier 11)
- ๐ฅ Human Ratings: Trainer: Timothy Grace โ Shit House | Jockey: Craig Newitt โ Average
- ๐ Data Profile: Race Rating: 80 | Current Rating: 24 | Time Rating: N/A | 10-Factor Score: 4/10
- ๐ The Report:
- โ Pros: Craig Newitt is a strong booking.
- โ Cons: Wide gate; poor form.
- Verdict: Only for the very brave.
CEE ROSE (Barrier 4)
- ๐ฅ Human Ratings: Trainer: Jesse Carmichael โ Shit House | Jockey: Cory Parish โ Average
- ๐ Data Profile: Race Rating: 77 | Current Rating: 26 | Time Rating: N/A | 10-Factor Score: 5/10
- ๐ The Report:
- โ Pros: Winkers on; drawn well.
- โ Cons: Low trainer strike rate.
- Verdict: Rough place chance.
3. ๐ธ BETTING RECOMMENDATIONS
- ๐ BEST BET: #10 UNTETHERED SOUL
- โ ๏ธ DANGER: #2 SO VOGUE
- ๐ฐ ROUGHIE: #1 DEEP STREAM
- ๐ซ LAY: #9 PRINCESS VONLOZZI
- ๐ฎ EXOTIC: Box: Untethered Soul, So Vogue, Deep Stream, Midnight Eagle
RACE 5: Gullifer Farm BM62 Handicap (1590m)
1. ๐บ๏ธ DETAILED SPEED MAP
Tempo Prediction: Average/Moderate
The Map:
- Leaders: Grey Lad (7), The Printer (3)
- On Pace: Ioane (9), Heironaut (2)
- Midfield: Crazy Town (4), This Is The Moment (5)
- Backmarkers: Olatunde (6), Engeline (1)
Bias Analysis: Heironaut has the gate to exploit the early turn.
2. ๐ TOP 5 RUNNERS ANALYSIS
GREY LAD (Barrier 7)
- ๐ฅ Human Ratings: Trainer: Craig Widdison โ Good | Jockey: Ella Bent โ Average
- ๐ Data Profile: Race Rating: 100 | Current Rating: 44 | Time Rating: 77 | 10-Factor Score: 7/10
- ๐ The Report:
- โ Pros: Top-rated; huge class drop.
- โ Cons: Heavy weight (61.5kg).
- Verdict: The class runner; handles this track perfectly.
HEIRONAUT (Barrier 2)
- ๐ฅ Human Ratings: Trainer: Freedman โ Elite | Jockey: Teo Nugent โ Shit House
- ๐ Data Profile: Race Rating: 95 | Current Rating: 39 | Time Rating: 99 | 10-Factor Score: 9/10
- ๐ The Report:
- โ Pros: Elite stable; best time rating; blinkers on.
- โ Cons: Jockey form.
- Verdict: Statistical standout; the Freedman polish is key.
IOANE (Barrier 9)
- ๐ฅ Human Ratings: Trainer: Yargi โ Good | Jockey: Craig Newitt โ Average
- ๐ Data Profile: Race Rating: 89 | Current Rating: 48 | Time Rating: 91 | 10-Factor Score: 7/10
- ๐ The Report:
- โ Pros: Very consistent; distance specialist.
- โ Cons: Awkward gate.
- Verdict: Should be in the finish.
THE PRINTER (Barrier 3)
- ๐ฅ Human Ratings: Trainer: Sanderson โ Shit House | Jockey: Will Gordon โ Good
- ๐ Data Profile: Race Rating: 89 | Current Rating: 52 | Time Rating: 74 | 10-Factor Score: 6/10
- ๐ The Report:
- โ Pros: Gordon is a great booking; drawn well.
- โ Cons: Low trainer strike rate.
- Verdict: Roughie chance with the jockey upgrade.
ENGELINE (Barrier 1)
- ๐ฅ Human Ratings: Trainer: Nick Ryan โ Good | Jockey: Liam Riordan โ Average
- ๐ Data Profile: Race Rating: 83 | Current Rating: 45 | Time Rating: 90 | 10-Factor Score: 6/10
- ๐ The Report:
- โ Pros: Rails gate; strong at the mile.
- โ Cons: Hasn’t won for a year.
- Verdict: Needs to improve but maps well.
3. ๐ธ BETTING RECOMMENDATIONS
- ๐ BEST BET: #7 HEIRONAUT
- โ ๏ธ DANGER: #1 GREY LAD
- ๐ฐ ROUGHIE: #5 THE PRINTER
- ๐ซ LAY: #3 CRAZY TOWN
- ๐ฎ EXOTIC: Box: Heironaut, Grey Lad, Ioane, The Printer
RACE 6: Picklebet BM62 Handicap (2050m)
1. ๐บ๏ธ DETAILED SPEED MAP
Tempo Prediction: Average
The Map:
- Leaders: Riozino (3), Druthers (9)
- On Pace: Shrewsbury Road (2), Doc March (6)
- Midfield: Flash Of Dallas (4), Proshow (8)
- Backmarkers: Biratu (7), First Day (1)
Bias Analysis: First Day loves this track and can sustain a long run.
2. ๐ TOP 5 RUNNERS ANALYSIS
FIRST DAY (Barrier 1)
- ๐ฅ Human Ratings: Trainer: Brisbourne โ Good | Jockey: Lachlan King โ Poor
- ๐ Data Profile: Race Rating: 100 | Current Rating: 48 | Time Rating: 85 | 10-Factor Score: 8/10
- ๐ The Report:
- โ Pros: Track and distance specialist.
- โ Cons: Jockey form.
- Verdict: The local pick; data supports a peak performance.
FLASH OF DALLAS (Barrier 4)
- ๐ฅ Human Ratings: Trainer: Sutton โ Shit House | Jockey: Craig Newitt โ Average
- ๐ Data Profile: Race Rating: 94 | Current Rating: 48 | Time Rating: 89 | 10-Factor Score: 7/10
- ๐ The Report:
- โ Pros: Last start winner; handles the trip.
- โ Cons: Trainer strike rate.
- Verdict: Hard to beat if she repeats her last run.
SHREWSBURY ROAD (Barrier 2)
- ๐ฅ Human Ratings: Trainer: Zahra โ Good | Jockey: Teo Nugent โ Shit House
- ๐ Data Profile: Race Rating: 81 | Current Rating: 48 | Time Rating: 90 | 10-Factor Score: 7/10
- ๐ The Report:
- โ Pros: Stalks the lead; high time rating.
- โ Cons: Jockey is cold.
- Verdict: Main danger if he finds clear room.
RIOZINO (Barrier 3)
- ๐ฅ Human Ratings: Trainer: Howley โ Good | Jockey: Alana Kelly โ Good
- ๐ Data Profile: Race Rating: 77 | Current Rating: 39 | Time Rating: N/A | 10-Factor Score: 6/10
- ๐ The Report:
- โ Pros: Likely leader; strong jockey.
- โ Cons: First-up over 2050m.
- Verdict: The tactical map horse.
DRUTHERS (Barrier 9)
- ๐ฅ Human Ratings: Trainer: Hayes โ Good | Jockey: Will Gordon โ Good
- ๐ Data Profile: Race Rating: 76 | Current Rating: 48 | Time Rating: 91 | 10-Factor Score: 7/10
- ๐ The Report:
- โ Pros: Gordon riding well; consistent.
- โ Cons: Wide draw.
- Verdict: Class factor makes him a player.
3. ๐ธ BETTING RECOMMENDATIONS
- ๐ BEST BET: #9 FIRST DAY
- โ ๏ธ DANGER: #2 FLASH OF DALLAS
- ๐ฐ ROUGHIE: #4 RIOZINO
- ๐ซ LAY: #1 DOC MARCH
- ๐ฎ EXOTIC: Box: First Day, Flash Of Dallas, Shrewsbury Road, Druthers
RACE 7: North East Forklift Services BM58 Handicap (1200m)
1. ๐บ๏ธ DETAILED SPEED MAP
Tempo Prediction: Average
The Map:
- Leaders: Lord Domino (6), Snapshot (3)
- On Pace: Very Torquee (11), Brinson (2)
- Midfield: Rhodesian Red (8), Justenuffsplash (4)
- Backmarkers: Reasonable Point (5), Final Crack (10)
Bias Analysis: Brinson gets the perfect stalking ride.
2. ๐ TOP 5 RUNNERS ANALYSIS
REASONABLE POINT (Barrier 5)
- ๐ฅ Human Ratings: Trainer: Brisbourne โ Good | Jockey: Blaike McDougall โ Poor
- ๐ Data Profile: Race Rating: 100 | Current Rating: 44 | Time Rating: 88 | 10-Factor Score: 7/10
- ๐ The Report:
- โ Pros: Highest data rating; class horse.
- โ Cons: Jockey form is poor.
- Verdict: The one to beat on pure metrics.
LORD DOMINO (Barrier 6)
- ๐ฅ Human Ratings: Trainer: Burgun โ Shit House | Jockey: Brittany Button โ Good
- ๐ Data Profile: Race Rating: 99 | Current Rating: 53 | Time Rating: 82 | 10-Factor Score: 6/10
- ๐ The Report:
- โ Pros: Massive current rating; claim helps.
- โ Cons: Long break first-up.
- Verdict: Classy but may need the run.
VERY TORQUEE (Barrier 11)
- ๐ฅ Human Ratings: Trainer: Brisbourne โ Good | Jockey: Lachlan King โ Poor
- ๐ Data Profile: Race Rating: 96 | Current Rating: 19 | Time Rating: 90 | 10-Factor Score: 8/10
- ๐ The Report:
- โ Pros: Huge time rating; last start winner.
- โ Cons: Awful gate (11).
- Verdict: If he jumps and crosses, heโs dangerous.
BRINSON (Barrier 2)
- ๐ฅ Human Ratings: Trainer: Kennewell โ Elite | Jockey: Craig Newitt โ Average
- ๐ Data Profile: Race Rating: 93 | Current Rating: 0 | Time Rating: 96 | 10-Factor Score: 9/10
- ๐ The Report:
- โ Pros: Best time rating; elite trainer.
- โ Cons: First-up query.
- Verdict: The value play of the race.
BEFORE THE WAR (Barrier 9)
- ๐ฅ Human Ratings: Trainer: Ledger โ Average | Jockey: Mitchell Aitken โ Shit House
- ๐ Data Profile: Race Rating: 82 | Current Rating: 49 | Time Rating: 89 | 10-Factor Score: 6/10
- ๐ The Report:
- โ Pros: Last start winner; high current rating.
- โ Cons: Poor jockey stats.
- Verdict: Competitive profile for exotics.
3. ๐ธ BETTING RECOMMENDATIONS
- ๐ BEST BET: #7 BRINSON
- โ ๏ธ DANGER: #3 REASONABLE POINT
- ๐ฐ ROUGHIE: #5 VERY TORQUEE
- ๐ซ AVOID: #1 LORD DOMINO (Short price/Risk)
- ๐ฎ EXOTIC: Box: Brinson, Reasonable Point, Very Torquee, Before The War
RACE 8: Kiewa Valley Spring Water BM62 Handicap (1300m)
1. ๐บ๏ธ DETAILED SPEED MAP
Tempo Prediction: Fast
The Map:
- Leaders: Sargeant Stan (9), Needawinna (6)
- On Pace: Toompine (4), Moonlight Dream (1), Fourthtimelucky (11)
- Midfield: Freak Of Nature (7), Aussie Adaptor (5)
- Backmarkers: Imposing Tallulah (3), Fleet Destination (10)
Bias Analysis: High pressure. Moonlight Dream drawn to use the rails and avoid early traffic.
2. ๐ TOP 5 RUNNERS ANALYSIS
MOONLIGHT DREAM (Barrier 1)
- ๐ฅ Human Ratings: Trainer: Brett Mallyon โ Shit House | Jockey: Blaike McDougall โ Poor
- ๐ Data Profile: Race Rating: 100 | Current Rating: 42 | Time Rating: 94 | 10-Factor Score: 8/10
- ๐ The Report:
- โ Pros: Top-rated; coming off two wins; drawn the rail.
- โ Cons: Human ratings are poor.
- Verdict: In peak form; maps to lead or sit lead and win.
TOOMPINE (Barrier 4)
- ๐ฅ Human Ratings: Trainer: Sylvia Thompson โ Average | Jockey: Logan McNeil โ Average
- ๐ Data Profile: Race Rating: 99 | Current Rating: 50 | Time Rating: 92 | 10-Factor Score: 7/10
- ๐ The Report:
- โ Pros: Ultra-consistent; high current rating.
- โ Cons: Low win strike rate.
- Verdict: The safety horse; clear place chance.
FOURTHTIMELUCKY (Barrier 11)
- ๐ฅ Human Ratings: Trainer: Craig Widdison โ Good | Jockey: Cory Parish โ Average
- ๐ Data Profile: Race Rating: 91 | Current Rating: 47 | Time Rating: 95 | 10-Factor Score: 8/10
- ๐ The Report:
- โ Pros: Highest time rating in race; Widdison/Parish is a good combo.
- โ Cons: Barrier 11.
- Verdict: The class runner; if he finds cover, he wins.
FREE MARKET (Barrier 13)
- ๐ฅ Human Ratings: Trainer: Debbie Delphin โ Good | Jockey: Will Gordon โ Good
- ๐ Data Profile: Race Rating: 90 | Current Rating: 49 | Time Rating: 93 | 10-Factor Score: 6/10
- ๐ The Report:
- โ Pros: Elite jockey; Gordon is a massive advantage.
- โ Cons: Impossible barrier (13).
- Verdict: Too much to do from out there.
SARGEANT STAN (Barrier 9)
- ๐ฅ Human Ratings: Trainer: Ron Stubbs โ Average | Jockey: Jason Lyon โ Poor
- ๐ Data Profile: Race Rating: 89 | Current Rating: 46 | Time Rating: 92 | 10-Factor Score: 6/10
- ๐ The Report:
- โ Pros: Likely leader.
- โ Cons: Disappointing last start.
- Verdict: Speed influence only.
3. ๐ธ BETTING RECOMMENDATIONS
- ๐ BEST BET: #3 MOONLIGHT DREAM
- โ ๏ธ DANGER: #5 FOURTHTIMELUCKY
- ๐ฐ ROUGHIE: #9 NEEDAWINNA
- ๐ซ LAY: #4 FREE MARKET
- ๐ฎ EXOTIC: Box: Moonlight Dream, Fourthtimelucky, Toompine, Needawinna
MEETING SUMMARY & STAKING PLAN
๐ THE $100 PLAY BOOK
- Race 1: #1 EN MER – $20 Win
- Race 2: #2 MY MATE TOM – $15 Win
- Race 3: #5 POISED – $25 Win (BEST BET)
- Race 5: #7 HEIRONAUT – $15 Win
- Race 7: #7 BRINSON – $15 Win
- Race 8: #3 MOONLIGHT DREAM – $10 Win
๐งฉ THE QUADDIE STRATEGY ($50 Budget)
- Leg 1 (R5): Grey Lad, Ioane, Heironaut
- Leg 2 (R6): First Day, Flash Of Dallas
- Leg 3 (R7): Reasonable Point, Brinson, Very Torquee
- Leg 4 (R8): Toompine, Moonlight Dream, Fourthtimelucky
- Calculation: 3 x 2 x 3 x 3 = 54 Combinations.
- Flexi: $50 investment = 92.5%
FINAL NOTE: Prices and ratings correct at time of analysis. Please bet within your means. Human ratings are statistical derivations from provided data.