PORT HEDLAND RACING ANALYSIS – 09 MAY 2026

🏁 TRACK BIAS & ENVIRONMENTAL REPORT

Surface: Dirt/Sand (Compacted)

Expected Bias: Historically, Port Hedland is a “fast lane” track where finding the rail is the primary advantage. Over 70% of winners at this circuit settle in the first two positions. However, late in the meeting, the kickback can become severe, making it difficult for backmarkers to make ground unless the tempo is suicidal.

Adjustment: Horses with “Lead” or “On Pace” map positions receive a +1 boost to their 10-Factor Score. Backmarkers on this surface require a significant class advantage to be considered winning chances.

RACE 1: BJ KEYS MEMORIAL MAIDEN (1200m)

Post Time: 01:47pm

🗺️ DETAILED SPEED MAP

Tempo Prediction: Fast (Multiple first-starters and aggressive pace from wide gates).

The Map:

• Leaders: Chantilly Girl (Avg. Pos: 1.2), Working Class Girl (Avg. Pos: 1.5).
• On Pace: My Tea (Will work from 12), Eight Ounces, Excavation.
• Midfield: Take The Field, Duopoly, Cocoon Girl.
• Backmarkers: Choice Attraction, De Bono, Stoptheprospector, You Want It Darker.
  Bias Analysis: Chantilly Girl and Working Class Girl are perfectly suited to the Port Hedland front-runners’ bias.

🏇 RUNNER ANALYSIS

CHANTILLY GIRL (4)

• 👥 Human Ratings: Trainer: Ryan Hill — Good | Jockey: Madi Derrick — Average
• 📊 Data Profile: Race Rating: 90 | Current Rating: 28 | Time Rating: 81
• 10-Factor Score: 8.5/10
• 📝 The Report:
  • ✅ Pros: Maps to lead comfortably from barrier 4. Strong trainer rating.
  • ❌ Cons: 153 days since last run.
  • Verdict: The speed map and bias suggest she is the one to catch.

MY TEA (12)

• 👥 Human Ratings: Trainer: Brett Pope — Average | Jockey: Elisha Whittington — Shit House
• 📊 Data Profile: Race Rating: 94 | Current Rating: 29 | Time Rating: 88
• 10-Factor Score: 7.5/10
• 📝 The Report:
  • ✅ Pros: Highest time rating in the field (88). Consistent placings.
  • ❌ Cons: Horror barrier (12). Poor jockey form rating.
  • Verdict: The class runner but the map is against him from the wide gate.

COCOON GIRL (8)

• 👥 Human Ratings: Trainer: Tom Pike — Shit House | Jockey: Kyra Yuill — Elite
• 📊 Data Profile: Race Rating: 91 | Current Rating: 28 | Time Rating: Data Not Found
• 10-Factor Score: 7/10
• 📝 The Report:
  • ✅ Pros: Significant jockey upgrade to Kyra Yuill. Fitter for one run back.
  • ❌ Cons: Needs to find the rail to be effective here.
  • Verdict: A major improver with the elite jockey booking.

CHOICE ATTRACTION (1)

• 👥 Human Ratings: Trainer: Brett Pope — Average | Jockey: Jason Li — Average
• 📊 Data Profile: Race Rating: 100 | Current Rating: 28 | Time Rating: 83
• 10-Factor Score: 6.5/10
• 📝 The Report:
  • ✅ Pros: Top Race Rating (100). Inside draw.
  • ❌ Cons: Extreme distance drop (2200m to 1200m).
  • Verdict: Has the ability but the 1000m drop in distance is a massive tactical query.

EXCAVATION (7)

• 👥 Human Ratings: Trainer: Michael Ball — Average | Jockey: Alex Hearn — Poor
• 📊 Data Profile: Race Rating: 83 | Current Rating: 27 | Time Rating: 85
• 10-Factor Score: 6/10
• 📝 The Report:
  • ✅ Pros: Blinkers on first time. Solid time rating.
  • ❌ Cons: Alex Hearn is out of form.
  • Verdict: A value chance if the gear change sparks early speed.

Remaining Runners:

• Take The Field (2): Recent trial was soft; place hope.
• Eight Ounces (11): Wide gate makes it tough to find a position.
• De Bono (9): Poor career stats to date.
• You Want It Darker (5): First starter; watch market.
• Duopoly (6): Map suggests she gets buried in kickback.
• Stoptheprospector (3): Hasn’t raced in over a year.
• Working Class Girl (10): Speed to burn; can stay in the finish if she clears the field.

💸 BETTING RECOMMENDATIONS

• 🏆 BEST BET: CHANTILLY GIRL
• ⚠️ DANGER/SAVER: COCOON GIRL
• 💰 ROUGHIE: WORKING CLASS GIRL (Over $10)
• 🚫 AVOID/LAY: MY TEA (Under $10 – Draw is too big a risk)
• 🔮 EXOTIC: Box: Chantilly Girl, Cocoon Girl, My Tea, Choice Attraction

RACE 2: KENNARDS HIRE HANDICAP (1200m)

Post Time: 02:22pm

🗺️ DETAILED SPEED MAP

Tempo Prediction: Average.

The Map:

• Leaders: Border Control (Avg. Pos: 1.0).
• On Pace: Hit The Jackpot, Granite Rock.
• Midfield: Galaxy Affair, Reginald.
• Backmarkers: Royalzel, Frantic War.
  Bias Analysis: Border Control is the ultimate map horse here. He owns the rail and the lead.

🏇 RUNNER ANALYSIS

BORDER CONTROL (6)

• 👥 Human Ratings: Trainer: Timothy Pike — Shit House | Jockey: Jefferson Tsang — Poor
• 📊 Data Profile: Race Rating: 100 | Current Rating: 51 | Time Rating: 84
• 10-Factor Score: 10/10 (Adjusted for course dominance)
• 📝 The Report:
  • ✅ Pros: 5 from 5 at this track. The Port Hedland specialist.
  • ❌ Cons: Carrying 63.5kg.
  • Verdict: He is the king of this track and doesn’t lose here.

ROYALZEL (4)

• 👥 Human Ratings: Trainer: Tom Pike — Shit House | Jockey: Kyra Yuill — Elite
• 📊 Data Profile: Race Rating: 94 | Current Rating: 51 | Time Rating: 90
• 10-Factor Score: 8.5/10
• 📝 The Report:
  • ✅ Pros: High course win rate. Fitter for two runs.
  • ❌ Cons: Needs to improve on recent form.
  • Verdict: Returns to his favorite track; expect sharp improvement.

GALAXY AFFAIR (7)

• 👥 Human Ratings: Trainer: Timothy Pike — Shit House | Jockey: Jason Li — Average
• 📊 Data Profile: Race Rating: 87 | Current Rating: 55 | Time Rating: 92
• 10-Factor Score: 8/10
• 📝 The Report:
  • ✅ Pros: Huge class drop from Ascot BM72+. High time rating.
  • ❌ Cons: Wide gate; first look at the dirt surface.
  • Verdict: The class runner of the race if he handles the sand.

REGINALD (2)

• 👥 Human Ratings: Trainer: Timothy Pike — Shit House | Jockey: Rosie Mahony — Shit House
• 📊 Data Profile: Race Rating: 78 | Current Rating: 48 | Time Rating: 93
• 10-Factor Score: 7/10
• 📝 The Report:
  • ✅ Pros: Top time rating (93). Drawn the rail.
  • ❌ Cons: 7yo who can be inconsistent.
  • Verdict: Place chance from the good draw.

HIT THE JACKPOT (5)

• 👥 Human Ratings: Trainer: Ryan Hill — Good | Jockey: Madi Derrick — Average
• 📊 Data Profile: Race Rating: 71 | Current Rating: 48 | Time Rating: 90
• 10-Factor Score: 6.5/10
• 📝 The Report:
  • ✅ Pros: Good trainer rating. Fitter for recent trials.
  • ❌ Cons: Poor distance record (0-for-3).
  • Verdict: First time on the surface; watch for market support.

Remaining Runners:

• Frantic War (1): Backmarker; will find it hard to make ground in the kickback.
• Granite Rock (3): First run in 266 days; might need the outing.

💸 BETTING RECOMMENDATIONS

• 🏆 BEST BET: BORDER CONTROL
• ⚠️ DANGER/SAVER: GALAXY AFFAIR
• 💰 ROUGHIE: REGINALD (Over $10)
• 🚫 AVOID/LAY: GRANITE ROCK (Under $10)
• 🔮 EXOTIC: Box: Border Control, Galaxy Affair, Royalzel, Reginald

RACE 3: TAMS PORT HEDLAND HANDICAP (1300m)

Post Time: 03:05pm

🗺️ DETAILED SPEED MAP

Tempo Prediction: Average.

The Map:

• Leaders: Hezazeb (Avg. Pos: 1.4).
• On Pace: Warby Ranges, Dynamic One.
• Midfield: Tobian, Puddin ‘N’ Pie.
• Backmarkers: Mystical Man, My De Grece, Mare Marvellous.
  Bias Analysis: Hezazeb drawn the rail is the massive beneficiary of the track bias.

🏇 RUNNER ANALYSIS

HEZAZEB (1)

• 👥 Human Ratings: Trainer: Tom Pike — Shit House | Jockey: Kyra Yuill — Elite
• 📊 Data Profile: Race Rating: 100 | Current Rating: 49 | Time Rating: 90
• 10-Factor Score: 9.5/10
• 📝 The Report:
  • ✅ Pros: Drawn the rail (1). Kyra Yuill factor. Course winner.
  • ❌ Cons: 8yo who hasn’t won in 987 days.
  • Verdict: Stats say he wins here; everything maps perfectly for him.

DYNAMIC ONE (3)

• 👥 Human Ratings: Trainer: Timothy Pike — Shit House | Jockey: Rosie Mahony — Shit House
• 📊 Data Profile: Race Rating: 96 | Current Rating: 52 | Time Rating: 93
• 10-Factor Score: 8/10
• 📝 The Report:
  • ✅ Pros: Highest Current and Time ratings in the field.
  • ❌ Cons: First run at Port Hedland; trainer rating concern.
  • Verdict: The class horse, but first run on dirt is always a query.

WARBY RANGES (4)

• 👥 Human Ratings: Trainer: Timothy Pike — Shit House | Jockey: Wayne Wheatley — Average
• 📊 Data Profile: Race Rating: 86 | Current Rating: 35 | Time Rating: 89
• 10-Factor Score: 7.5/10
• 📝 The Report:
  • ✅ Pros: Tactical speed to sit outside the lead.
  • ❌ Cons: Modest strike rate.
  • Verdict: If he can clear the field early, he’s a massive chance.

TOBIAN (8)

• 👥 Human Ratings: Trainer: Brett Pope — Average | Jockey: Elisha Whittington — Shit House
• 📊 Data Profile: Race Rating: 70 | Current Rating: 46 | Time Rating: 87
• 10-Factor Score: 6/10
• 📝 The Report:
  • ✅ Pros: Consistent placings recently.
  • ❌ Cons: Wide draw (8) makes it hard to find the rail.
  • Verdict: Place hope if he gets lucky in the run.

MYSTICAL MAN (6)

• 👥 Human Ratings: Trainer: Ryan Hill — Good | Jockey: Madi Derrick — Average
• 📊 Data Profile: Race Rating: 69 | Current Rating: 52 | Time Rating: 89
• 10-Factor Score: 6/10
• 📝 The Report:
  • ✅ Pros: Good trainer; class drop.
  • ❌ Cons: Massive distance reduction (1900m to 1300m).
  • Verdict: Likely to find them too sharp over this distance.

Remaining Runners:

• My De Grece (5): Needs further; map position is too far back.
• Puddin ‘N’ Pie (2): Course winner; can surprise from a good gate.
• Mare Marvellous (7): Maiden in a BM56+; outclassed.

💸 BETTING RECOMMENDATIONS

• 🏆 BEST BET: HEZAZEB
• ⚠️ DANGER/SAVER: DYNAMIC ONE
• 💰 ROUGHIE: WARBY RANGES (Over $10)
• 🚫 AVOID/LAY: MYSTICAL MAN (Under $10)
• 🔮 EXOTIC: Box: Hezazeb, Dynamic One, Warby Ranges, Puddin ‘N’ Pie

RACE 4: WESTEX CONTRACTING HANDICAP (1300m)

Post Time: 03:45pm

🗺️ DETAILED SPEED MAP

Tempo Prediction: Very Fast.

The Map:

• Leaders: Oscar Winner (Avg. Pos: 1.1).
• On Pace: Tousled Crown, Imperialize, Missile Girl.
• Midfield: Leading Taddy, Gee Boys.
• Backmarkers: Whispering Pharaoh, Kermelia, Torqued Up.
  Bias Analysis: Oscar Winner and Tousled Crown are best suited to the front-runners’ advantage.

🏇 RUNNER ANALYSIS

TOUSLED CROWN (6)

• 👥 Human Ratings: Trainer: Brett Pope — Average | Jockey: Jason Li — Average
• 📊 Data Profile: Race Rating: 100 | Current Rating: 51 | Time Rating: 95
• 10-Factor Score: 9.5/10
• 📝 The Report:
  • ✅ Pros: Highest Time Rating (95). Excellent recent form in better grades.
  • ❌ Cons: First time on the Hedland dirt.
  • Verdict: The class benchmark of the race.

OSCAR WINNER (3)

• 👥 Human Ratings: Trainer: Tom Pike — Shit House | Jockey: Kyra Yuill — Elite
• 📊 Data Profile: Race Rating: 87 | Current Rating: 52 | Time Rating: Data Not Found
• 10-Factor Score: 9/10
• 📝 The Report:
  • ✅ Pros: Last start winner. Maps to lead or sit 2nd. Kyra Yuill upgrade.
  • ❌ Cons: 0-for-1 at the distance.
  • Verdict: In winning form and has the tactical speed suited to this track.

IMPERIALIZE (2)

• 👥 Human Ratings: Trainer: Brett Pope — Average | Jockey: Elisha Whittington — Shit House
• 📊 Data Profile: Race Rating: 89 | Current Rating: 51 | Time Rating: 93
• 10-Factor Score: 8/10
• 📝 The Report:
  • ✅ Pros: Consistent placings; drawn perfectly in 2.
  • ❌ Cons: 0 wins for 776 days.
  • Verdict: An exotic must-include but hard to see him winning.

MISSILE GIRL (1)

• 👥 Human Ratings: Trainer: Timothy Pike — Shit House | Jockey: Rosie Mahony — Shit House
• 📊 Data Profile: Race Rating: 86 | Current Rating: 40 | Time Rating: 85
• 10-Factor Score: 7.5/10
• 📝 The Report:
  • ✅ Pros: Drawn the rail (1). Fitter for two runs.
  • ❌ Cons: Mixed form at Ascot.
  • Verdict: Could easily lead and win if she takes to the dirt surface.

WHISPERING PHARAOH (4)

• 👥 Human Ratings: Trainer: Dean Cocivera — Good | Jockey: Wayne Wheatley — Average
• 📊 Data Profile: Race Rating: 69 | Current Rating: 46 | Time Rating: 89
• 10-Factor Score: 6.5/10
• 📝 The Report:
  • ✅ Pros: Solid VIC form before moving West.
  • ❌ Cons: Massive distance drop (2100m back to 1300m).
  • Verdict: If the pace is too fast, he’s the one closing late.

Remaining Runners:

• Leading Taddy (7): Classy but first-up after 80 days; might need the run.
• Torqued Up (9): Poor record at the course.
• Kermelia (8): Backmarker; distance query.
• Gee Boys (5): Maiden; out of his depth here.

💸 BETTING RECOMMENDATIONS

• 🏆 BEST BET: TOUSLED CROWN
• ⚠️ DANGER/SAVER: OSCAR WINNER
• 💰 ROUGHIE: WHISPERING PHARAOH (Over $10)
• 🚫 AVOID/LAY: LEADING TADDY (Under $10)
• 🔮 EXOTIC: Box: Tousled Crown, Oscar Winner, Imperialize, Missile Girl

RACE 5: SCOPE BUSINESS IMAGING HANDICAP (1200m)

Post Time: 04:22pm

🗺️ DETAILED SPEED MAP

Tempo Prediction: Fast.

The Map:

• Leaders: Calathinite, Sansanee.
• On Pace: Quick Cookie, Gingeriffic, Big Karri.
• Midfield: Grundy Three Votes, Percussion Prince.
• Backmarkers: Reel Serenity, Lady Cabernet, Gronar.
  Bias Analysis: Calathinite and Sansanee to fight for the early lead. Quick Cookie is best suited to sit just behind the fast tempo.

🏇 RUNNER ANALYSIS

QUICK COOKIE (8)

• 👥 Human Ratings: Trainer: Ryan Hill — Good | Jockey: Madi Derrick — Average
• 📊 Data Profile: Race Rating: 100 | Current Rating: 43 | Time Rating: 90
• 10-Factor Score: 9.5/10
• 📝 The Report:
  • ✅ Pros: Top Race Rating (100). Ultra-consistent placings. Good trainer.
  • ❌ Cons: Wide-ish gate (8).
  • Verdict: The class runner. She has the tactical speed to sit off the leaders and finish over them.

SANSANEE (4)

• 👥 Human Ratings: Trainer: Brett Pope — Average | Jockey: Rocky Cheung — Average
• 📊 Data Profile: Race Rating: 88 | Current Rating: 31 | Time Rating: 81
• 10-Factor Score: 8/10
• 📝 The Report:
  • ✅ Pros: Loves the lead. Won recently at Broome.
  • ❌ Cons: Poor career SR (1-for-22).
  • Verdict: If she clears them early, she’ll be very hard to pass on this surface.

GINGERIFFIC (10)

• 👥 Human Ratings: Trainer: Tom Pike — Shit House | Jockey: Kyra Yuill — Elite
• 📊 Data Profile: Race Rating: 73 | Current Rating: 49 | Time Rating: Data Not Found
• 10-Factor Score: 8/10
• 📝 The Report:
  • ✅ Pros: Kyra Yuill factor. Excellent 3rd last start.
  • ❌ Cons: Drawn the outside (10).
  • Verdict: Needs luck from the draw but is in the right class.

LADY CABERNET (3)

• 👥 Human Ratings: Trainer: Robert Beattie — Good | Jockey: Jordan Turner — Poor
• 📊 Data Profile: Race Rating: 73 | Current Rating: 46 | Time Rating: 81
• 10-Factor Score: 7/10
• 📝 The Report:
  • ✅ Pros: Drawn well (3). Won at the distance.
  • ❌ Cons: Hasn’t won for 1140 days.
  • Verdict: A sneaky place chance from the good draw.

REEL SERENITY (5)

• 👥 Human Ratings: Trainer: Brett Pope — Average | Jockey: Ava Catarino — Shit House
• 📊 Data Profile: Race Rating: 59 | Current Rating: 46 | Time Rating: 91
• 10-Factor Score: 6.5/10
• 📝 The Report:
  • ✅ Pros: Top Time Rating (91).
  • ❌ Cons: First-up after 101 days. 1000m distance drop.
  • Verdict: May find 1200m too short but ratings suggest class.

Remaining Runners:

• Grundy Three Votes (11): 305 days off and wide gate.
• Calathinite (7): Fast but might fold late.
• Big Karri (1): Capable but wide positions query.
• Gronar (6): Struggles on dry dirt.
• Percussion Prince (2): Needs further.
• Peaceful World (9): First starter; watch betting.

💸 BETTING RECOMMENDATIONS

• 🏆 BEST BET: QUICK COOKIE
• ⚠️ DANGER/SAVER: SANSANEE
• 💰 ROUGHIE: LADY CABERNET (Over $10)
• 🚫 AVOID/LAY: GRUNDY THREE VOTES (Under $10)
• 🔮 EXOTIC: Box: Quick Cookie, Sansanee, Gingeriffic, Lady Cabernet

RACE 6: XXXX GOLD HANDICAP (1200m)

Post Time: 04:52pm

🗺️ DETAILED SPEED MAP

Tempo Prediction: Very Fast.

The Map:

• Leaders: Esquel, Fameux.
• On Pace: Star Power, Cassenite, She Is God.
• Midfield: Immortal Shield, Magic Shot.
• Backmarkers: Wicked Cool, Pavliani, Puro.
  Bias Analysis: High-quality Victorian speed (Esquel) vs Local specialist speed (Fameux). Favoring Star Power who can stalk the duel.

🏇 RUNNER ANALYSIS

STAR POWER (4)

• 👥 Human Ratings: Trainer: Tom Pike — Shit House | Jockey: Kyra Yuill — Elite
• 📊 Data Profile: Race Rating: 100 | Current Rating: 46 | Time Rating: 93
• 10-Factor Score: 10/10
• 📝 The Report:
  • ✅ Pros: Top Race Rating (100). Won only start at this course. Kyra Yuill up.
  • ❌ Cons: Trainer form rating.
  • Verdict: Everything points to a win here. Specialist horse on a specialist track.

FAMEUX (6)

• 👥 Human Ratings: Trainer: Ryan Hill — Good | Jockey: Madi Derrick — Average
• 📊 Data Profile: Race Rating: 74 | Current Rating: 50 | Time Rating: 91
• 10-Factor Score: 8.5/10
• 📝 The Report:
  • ✅ Pros: Honest placegetter. Maps to lead or sit 2nd.
  • ❌ Cons: 308 days since last win.
  • Verdict: Should be in the finish but might get softened up early.

ESQUEL (10)

• 👥 Human Ratings: Trainer: Timothy Pike — Shit House | Jockey: Rosie Mahony — Shit House
• 📊 Data Profile: Race Rating: 63 | Current Rating: 48 | Time Rating: 93
• 10-Factor Score: 8/10
• 📝 The Report:
  • ✅ Pros: High VIC city form. High time rating.
  • ❌ Cons: Horror draw (10). First time on dirt.
  • Verdict: Class is there, but the environmental factors are risky.

CASSENITE (3)

• 👥 Human Ratings: Trainer: Brett Pope — Average | Jockey: Elisha Whittington — Shit House
• 📊 Data Profile: Race Rating: 55 | Current Rating: 36 | Time Rating: 85
• 10-Factor Score: 7/10
• 📝 The Report:
  • ✅ Pros: Consistent placings recently.
  • ❌ Cons: Poor SR over this distance.
  • Verdict: Place hope if she handles the surface.

SHE IS GOD (9)

• 👥 Human Ratings: Trainer: Tom Pike — Shit House | Jockey: Wayne Wheatley — Average
• 📊 Data Profile: Race Rating: 59 | Current Rating: 29 | Time Rating: 87
• 10-Factor Score: 6.5/10
• 📝 The Report:
  • ✅ Pros: Won over the distance at this course.
  • ❌ Cons: First-up after long break.
  • Verdict: Could blow them away if she’s fit.

Remaining Runners:

• Immortal Shield (7): Trial form is poor.
• Magic Shot (1): Long losing sequence.
• Wicked Cool (2): Backmarker; out of luck.
• Pavliani (8): Struggling for form.
• Puro (5): Too slow early for this field.

💸 BETTING RECOMMENDATIONS

• 🏆 BEST BET: STAR POWER
• ⚠️ DANGER/SAVER: ESQUEL
• 💰 ROUGHIE: SHE IS GOD (Over $10)
• 🚫 AVOID/LAY: FAMEUX (Under $10)
• 🔮 EXOTIC: Box: Star Power, Esquel, Fameux, Cassenite

MEETING SUMMARY & STAKING PLAN

📘 THE $100 PLAY BOOK

• Race 2: Border Control — WIN — $30
• Race 6: Star Power — WIN — $25
• Race 4: Tousled Crown — WIN — $15
• Race 3: Hezazeb — WIN — $15
• Race 1: Chantilly Girl — WIN — $10
• Race 5: Quick Cookie — WIN — $5

🧩 THE QUADDIE STRATEGY ($50 Budget)

• Leg 1 (R3): Hezazeb, Dynamic One, Warby Ranges
• Leg 2 (R4): Tousled Crown, Oscar Winner, Missile Girl
• Leg 3 (R5): Quick Cookie, Sansanee, Gingeriffic
• Leg 4 (R6): Star Power, Esquel, Fameux
• Flexi: $50 for 61.7%

FINAL NOTE: Prices and ratings correct at time of analysis. Please bet within your means. Human ratings are statistical derivations from provided data.