✅ System Ready.
Meeting Date: 28 March 2026
Track: Gold Coast Poly (Synthetic)
🏟️ TRACK BIAS & CONDITIONS REPORT
Surface Type: Synthetic (Pro-Ride)
Historic Play: The Gold Coast Poly track is historically a “leader/on-pace” paradise. Statistical data from the last 12 months shows that horses settling in the first 4 at the 800m mark win approximately 68% of races.
Expected Bias: Given the current weather patterns and synthetic profile, expect the rail to be the place to be. Horses forced wide (3-deep) without cover find it nearly impossible to sustain runs. Stalkers with inside gates who can settle 2nd/3rd are the biggest beneficiaries of the “Synthetic Slingshot” effect coming off the turn.
RACE 1: TAB HOLLINDALE STAKES DAY Maiden Plate (1540m)
🗺️ DETAILED SPEED MAP
Average Position Calculation: * Crystal Garden: Avg Pos (Last 3): 2nd. Drawn 6. Likely Lead.
- What Did You Say: Avg Pos (Last 3): 3rd. Drawn 8. On Pace.
- Namara: Avg Pos (Last 3): 4th. Drawn 3. On Pace/Stalker.
Tempo Prediction: Average
The Map: - Leaders: Crystal Garden
- On Pace: What Did You Say, Namara, Alkebulan
- Midfield: Verbalize, Hopetoun Park, Kamigamo
- Backmarkers: Clearly Not, Skeleton Crew, Momory
Bias Analysis: Namara and Crystal Garden are perfectly suited. Namara’s ability to sit 3rd/4th on the fence from barrier 3 is the “A-Grade” map for this track.
🏇 TOP 5 RUNNERS ANALYSIS
NAMARA (Barrier 3)
👥 Human Ratings:
- Trainer: Kris Lees — Good
- Jockey: Benjamin Osmond — Average
📊 Data Profile: - Race Rating: 100 | Current Rating: 36 | Time Rating: 94
- 10-Factor Score: 9/10
📝 The Report: - ✅ Pros: Maps to get the ultimate run. Highest Race Rating. Peak fitness.
- ❌ Cons: Has found ways to get beaten in the past.
Verdict: The best weighted and best mapped runner. Should win.
WHAT DID YOU SAY (Barrier 8)
👥 Human Ratings:
- Trainer: James Moore — Good
- Jockey: Damien Boche — Shit House
📊 Data Profile: - Race Rating: 97 | Current Rating: 24 | Time Rating: 89
- 10-Factor Score: 7/10
📝 The Report: - ✅ Pros: Consistent runner. High race rating.
- ❌ Cons: Terrible jockey stats. Wide gate will force him to work early.
Verdict: High class but the “human variables” make him a risk at a short price.
CRYSTAL GARDEN (Barrier 6)
👥 Human Ratings:
- Trainer: Adam Campton — Elite
- Jockey: Bella Youngberry — Good
📊 Data Profile: - Race Rating: 80 | Current Rating: 24 | Time Rating: Data Not Found
- 10-Factor Score: 8/10
📝 The Report: - ✅ Pros: Elite stable on this track. Blinkers ON indicates a focused run.
- ❌ Cons: Ratings are slightly below the top two.
Verdict: The sharpest improver. Expect her to lead or sit 2nd.
CLEARLY NOT (Barrier 1)
👥 Human Ratings:
- Trainer: Vic Heading — Good
- Jockey: Harrison Shaw — Poor
📊 Data Profile: - Race Rating: 71 | Current Rating: 13 | Time Rating: Data Not Found
- 10-Factor Score: 5.5/10
📝 The Report: - ✅ Pros: Drawn the paint. Distance rise could unlock ability.
- ❌ Cons: Low ratings profile. Slow out of the machine.
Verdict: Needs the leaders to stop. Place hope.
VERBALIZE (Barrier 4)
👥 Human Ratings:
- Trainer: Stuart Kendrick — Good
- Jockey: Stephanie Tierney — Average
📊 Data Profile: - Race Rating: 69 | Current Rating: 18 | Time Rating: 90
- 10-Factor Score: 6/10
📝 The Report: - ✅ Pros: Solid time rating (90). Kendrick stable is firing.
- ❌ Cons: Form is visually average.
Verdict: A mathematical chance if the pace is high.
💸 BETTING RECOMMENDATIONS
🏆 BEST BET: Namara
⚠️ DANGER/SAVER: Crystal Garden
💰 ROUGHIE: Clearly Not (Projected >$10)
🚫 AVOID/LAY: What Did You Say (Projected <$10)
🔮 EXOTIC: Box: Namara, Crystal Garden, What Did You Say, Clearly Not
RACE 2: VALE NOEL SMITH Maiden Plate (1900m)
🗺️ DETAILED SPEED MAP
Average Position Calculation: * Come On Mr Snips: Avg Pos (Last 3): 1st. Drawn 1. Lead.
- Willie Or Wong He: Avg Pos (Last 3): 3rd. Drawn 3. On Pace.
- Little Lunch: Avg Pos (Last 3): 2nd. Drawn 2. On Pace.
Tempo Prediction: Average
The Map: - Leaders: Come On Mr Snips
- On Pace: Little Lunch, Willie Or Wong He, Preachabull
- Midfield: Artistic Touch, Blightys Hope, Blood Red
- Backmarkers: Cooloundra, Hot Miss, Two Time Girl
Bias Analysis: The leaders Come On Mr Snips and Little Lunch get a huge head start here. Willie Or Wong He is the class stalker.
🏇 TOP 5 RUNNERS ANALYSIS
WILLIE OR WONG HE (Barrier 3)
👥 Human Ratings:
- Trainer: Chris Waller — Good
- Jockey: Danny Peisley — Average
📊 Data Profile: - Race Rating: 100 | Current Rating: 19 | Time Rating: 92
- 10-Factor Score: 9.5/10
📝 The Report: - ✅ Pros: Waller/Peisley J/T strike rate is 21%. City-class form. Perfect draw.
- ❌ Cons: Significant gear changes; unknown at distance.
Verdict: Should simply be too good for these.
COME ON MR SNIPS (Barrier 1)
👥 Human Ratings:
- Trainer: Nicole Luke — Shit House
- Jockey: Frederick Larson — Average
📊 Data Profile: - Race Rating: 89 | Current Rating: 21 | Time Rating: Data Not Found
- 10-Factor Score: 8/10
📝 The Report: - ✅ Pros: Poly specialist. Leading from the fence is the golden ticket here.
- ❌ Cons: Trainer statistics are very poor.
Verdict: The only one that can beat the favorite if Peisley gets boxed in.
ARTISTIC TOUCH (Barrier 8)
👥 Human Ratings:
- Trainer: Stephen Cole — Shit House
- Jockey: Micheal Hellyer — Average
📊 Data Profile: - Race Rating: 80 | Current Rating: 25 | Time Rating: 89
- 10-Factor Score: 6.5/10
📝 The Report: - ✅ Pros: Honest time rating. Consistent in similar grade.
- ❌ Cons: 0 from 19. Not a winner’s profile.
Verdict: Include in exotics for the minor ends.
LITTLE LUNCH (Barrier 2)
👥 Human Ratings:
- Trainer: Kurt Goldman — Shit House
- Jockey: Bella Youngberry — Good
📊 Data Profile: - Race Rating: 70 | Current Rating: 25 | Time Rating: Data Not Found
- 10-Factor Score: 7.5/10
📝 The Report: - ✅ Pros: Maps to sit outside lead or box seat. Good jockey.
- ❌ Cons: Maiden after 8 runs. Stable is struggling.
Verdict: Definite place hope from the soft draw.
HOT MISS (Barrier 9)
👥 Human Ratings:
- Trainer: Chris Waller — Good
- Jockey: Brandon Lerena — Good
📊 Data Profile: - Race Rating: 68 | Current Rating: 25 | Time Rating: Data Not Found
- 10-Factor Score: 7/10
📝 The Report: - ✅ Pros: Waller/Lerena combo is high impact. Statistical overlay candidate.
- ❌ Cons: Poor draw; form is very plain on paper.
Verdict: The Waller “second stringer” often surprises.
💸 BETTING RECOMMENDATIONS
🏆 BEST BET: Willie Or Wong He
⚠️ DANGER/SAVER: Come On Mr Snips
💰 ROUGHIE: Little Lunch (Projected >$10)
🚫 AVOID/LAY: Artistic Touch (Projected <$10)
🔮 EXOTIC: Box: Willie Or Wong He, Come On Mr Snips, Little Lunch, Hot Miss
RACE 3: BENCHMARK 70 Handicap (1150m)
🗺️ DETAILED SPEED MAP
Average Position Calculation: * King Of Minto: Avg Pos (Last 3): 1st. Drawn 7. Lead.
- Tarps: Avg Pos (Last 3): 1st. Drawn 8. Lead/On Pace.
- Count Nicholas: Avg Pos (Last 3): 3rd. Drawn 1. On Pace.
Tempo Prediction: Fast
The Map: - Leaders: King Of Minto, Tarps
- On Pace: Count Nicholas, Hollywood Epic
- Midfield: Spirit Of Brodie, Adalie
- Backmarkers: Birmingham, Devine Falls
Bias Analysis: High tempo expected. Count Nicholas on the rail is best suited to watch the burn and strike.
🏇 TOP 5 RUNNERS ANALYSIS
KING OF MINTO (Barrier 7)
👥 Human Ratings:
- Trainer: Les Kelly — Good
- Jockey: Dylan Turner — Shit House
📊 Data Profile: - Race Rating: 100 | Current Rating: 51 | Time Rating: 96
- 10-Factor Score: 8.5/10
📝 The Report: - ✅ Pros: Best time and race ratings. Course and distance winner.
- ❌ Cons: Jockey is a significant downgrade.
Verdict: Statistically the winner, human-variable says “Caution.”
COUNT NICHOLAS (Barrier 1)
👥 Human Ratings:
- Trainer: Adam Campton — Elite
- Jockey: Bella Youngberry — Good
📊 Data Profile: - Race Rating: 87 | Current Rating: 48 | Time Rating: 89
- 10-Factor Score: 9/10
📝 The Report: - ✅ Pros: Box seat map. Elite stable. Massive consistency.
- ❌ Cons: Weighted to his limit.
Verdict: The smart money will be here. Perfectly suits the Poly bias.
TARPS (Barrier 8)
👥 Human Ratings:
- Trainer: Scott Morrisey — Good
- Jockey: Yvette Lewis — Poor
📊 Data Profile: - Race Rating: 81 | Current Rating: 51 | Time Rating: 89
- 10-Factor Score: 7.5/10
📝 The Report: - ✅ Pros: Racing in career-best form. Won last start.
- ❌ Cons: Wide draw in a high-speed race.
Verdict: If he can cross the favorite without being used up, he’s the danger.
SPIRIT OF BRODIE (Barrier 3)
👥 Human Ratings:
- Trainer: Adam Campton — Elite
- Jockey: Scott Sheargold — Average
📊 Data Profile: - Race Rating: 80 | Current Rating: 48 | Time Rating: 92
- 10-Factor Score: 8/10
📝 The Report: - ✅ Pros: Elite stable. Fast time rating. Stalker map.
- ❌ Cons: Long time between drinks.
Verdict: The knockout horse if the top three burn each other out.
HOLLYWOOD EPIC (Barrier 6)
👥 Human Ratings:
- Trainer: Renita Beaton — Elite
- Jockey: Benjamin Osmond — Average
📊 Data Profile: - Race Rating: 78 | Current Rating: 45 | Time Rating: Data Not Found
- 10-Factor Score: 7/10
📝 The Report: - ✅ Pros: Proven class runner. Great trial.
- ❌ Cons: First-up; market usually tells the story.
Verdict: Respect the stable, but may need one.
💸 BETTING RECOMMENDATIONS
🏆 BEST BET: Count Nicholas
⚠️ DANGER/SAVER: King Of Minto
💰 ROUGHIE: Spirit Of Brodie (Projected >$10)
🚫 AVOID/LAY: Devine Falls (Projected <$10)
🔮 EXOTIC: Box: Count Nicholas, King Of Minto, Tarps, Spirit Of Brodie
RACE 4: THE GRANT GOLDIE MEMORIAL BM55 (1050m)
🗺️ DETAILED SPEED MAP
Average Position Calculation: * Cat Call: Avg Pos (Last 3): 1st. Drawn 3. Lead.
- Charlotte’s Here: Avg Pos (Last 3): 1st. Drawn 7. Lead.
Tempo Prediction: Fast
The Map: - Leaders: Cat Call, Charlotte’s Here
- On Pace: Call To Courage, Sonic Arrow
- Midfield: Dusan, Vega Nova, Beitsoo
- Backmarkers: Count Nicholas (14), Bee Exact
Bias Analysis: Cat Call has the inside advantage on the speed. Backmarkers like Count Nicholas are mathematically disadvantaged from barrier 14.
🏇 TOP 5 RUNNERS ANALYSIS
CAT CALL (Barrier 3)
👥 Human Ratings:
- Trainer: Gary Doughty — Elite
- Jockey: Brandon Lerena — Good
📊 Data Profile: - Race Rating: 100 | Current Rating: 33 | Time Rating: 85
- 10-Factor Score: 9/10
📝 The Report: - ✅ Pros: Gelding operation. Top race rater. Perfect draw.
- ❌ Cons: Long winning drought.
Verdict: Ready to dominate this grade from the lead.
BEITSOO (Barrier 11)
👥 Human Ratings:
- Trainer: Mark Palmer — Shit House
- Jockey: Colleen Krahnen — Average
📊 Data Profile: - Race Rating: 90 | Current Rating: 46 | Time Rating: 92
- 10-Factor Score: 7/10
📝 The Report: - ✅ Pros: High time rating. Statistically strong.
- ❌ Cons: Terrible stable stats. Wide gate.
Verdict: Class runner but setup is poor.
CALL TO COURAGE (Barrier 6)
👥 Human Ratings:
- Trainer: Toby Edmonds — Good
- Jockey: Benjamin Osmond — Average
📊 Data Profile: - Race Rating: 87 | Current Rating: 38 | Time Rating: 93
- 10-Factor Score: 8.5/10
📝 The Report: - ✅ Pros: Top tier trainer. Great time rating.
- ❌ Cons: 78 days off.
Verdict: Stalks the leaders. High likelihood of finishing in the top 2.
HERECOMESANTORINI (Barrier 1)
👥 Human Ratings:
- Trainer: Taylah Mackinnon — Average
- Jockey: Fiona Sandkuhl — Poor
📊 Data Profile: - Race Rating: 82 | Current Rating: 39 | Time Rating: 82
- 10-Factor Score: 6.5/10
📝 The Report: - ✅ Pros: Rail draw. Placegetter at track.
- ❌ Cons: Poor jockey.
Verdict: Minor exotic player.
DUSAN (Barrier 2)
👥 Human Ratings:
- Trainer: Samantha McGuren — Shit House
- Jockey: Olivia Kendal — Average
📊 Data Profile: - Race Rating: 73 | Current Rating: 46 | Time Rating: 92
- 10-Factor Score: 7/10
📝 The Report: - ✅ Pros: Fast time rating. Good draw.
- ❌ Cons: Non-winner stable.
Verdict: Statistical contender but lacks winning intent.
💸 BETTING RECOMMENDATIONS
🏆 BEST BET: Cat Call
⚠️ DANGER/SAVER: Call To Courage
💰 ROUGHIE: Beitsoo (Projected >$10)
🚫 AVOID/LAY: Count Nicholas (Projected <$10 – Barrier 14 too much)
🔮 EXOTIC: Box: Cat Call, Call To Courage, Beitsoo, Dusan
RACE 5: BENCHMARK 58 Handicap (2000m)
🗺️ DETAILED SPEED MAP
Average Position Calculation: * Watermelon: Avg Pos (Last 3): 2nd. Drawn 4. Lead.
- Jamcart: Avg Pos (Last 3): 2nd. Drawn 9. On Pace.
Tempo Prediction: Slow
The Map: - Leaders: Watermelon
- On Pace: Forever Fortune, Power Ace, Jamcart
- Midfield: Alabama Girl, Hell Follows
- Backmarkers: Call Me Legend, Papal Miss
Bias Analysis: Slow tempo stayer races on Synthetic are rarely won from the back. Watermelon and Forever Fortune suited.
🏇 TOP 5 RUNNERS ANALYSIS
FOREVER FORTUNE (Barrier 8)
👥 Human Ratings:
- Trainer: Allan Chau — Elite
- Jockey: Nozi Tomizawa — Shit House
📊 Data Profile: - Race Rating: 100 | Current Rating: 43 | Time Rating: 88
- 10-Factor Score: 8.5/10
📝 The Report: - ✅ Pros: Top stable for this track. Course specialist.
- ❌ Cons: Jockey stats are poor.
Verdict: Statistically the standout runner.
POWER ACE (Barrier 15)
👥 Human Ratings:
- Trainer: Tony Gollan — Good
- Jockey: Bella Youngberry — Good
📊 Data Profile: - Race Rating: 93 | Current Rating: 50 | Time Rating: 91
- 10-Factor Score: 8/10
📝 The Report: - ✅ Pros: Top class trainer. High time rating.
- ❌ Cons: Horrific barrier (15).
Verdict: Best horse, worst map.
WATERMELON (Barrier 4)
👥 Human Ratings:
- Trainer: Ray Dart — Average
- Jockey: Colleen Krahnen — Average
📊 Data Profile: - Race Rating: 87 | Current Rating: 49 | Time Rating: 86
- 10-Factor Score: 8.5/10
📝 The Report: - ✅ Pros: Maps to lead and dictate.
- ❌ Cons: Carrying 64kg.
Verdict: Will give them all something to catch.
FLYING ROTHE (Barrier 12)
👥 Human Ratings:
- Trainer: Vic Heading — Good
- Jockey: [Not Named] — Data Not Found
📊 Data Profile: - Race Rating: 75 | Current Rating: 47 | Time Rating: 88
- 10-Factor Score: 7/10
📝 The Report: - ✅ Pros: High strike rate horse. In form.
- ❌ Cons: Wide gate.
Verdict: Respected but draw is a query.
PAPAL MISS (Barrier 6)
👥 Human Ratings:
- Trainer: Vishan Venkaya — Average
- Jockey: Girish Goomany — Average
📊 Data Profile: - Race Rating: 74 | Current Rating: 49 | Time Rating: 92
- 10-Factor Score: 7.5/10
📝 The Report: - ✅ Pros: Fastest time rater in race.
- ❌ Cons: Getting back in a slow race.
Verdict: Will be flying home too late.
💸 BETTING RECOMMENDATIONS
🏆 BEST BET: Watermelon (Map/Weight dictate)
⚠️ DANGER/SAVER: Forever Fortune
💰 ROUGHIE: Flying Rothe (Projected >$10)
🚫 AVOID/LAY: Call Me Legend (Projected <$10)
🔮 EXOTIC: Box: Watermelon, Forever Fortune, Power Ace, Papal Miss
RACE 6: 1540m BENCHMARK 55 Handicap
🗺️ DETAILED SPEED MAP
Average Position Calculation: * Archers Reign: Avg Pos (Last 3): 1st. Drawn 6. Lead.
- Italian Dancer: Avg Pos (Last 3): 2nd. Drawn 1. On Pace.
Tempo Prediction: Average
The Map: - Leaders: Archers Reign, Italian Dancer
- On Pace: Ambassadors, Effie’s Joy
- Midfield: Our Orator, Sly Corner
- Backmarkers: Brain Wave (8), Bolero
Bias Analysis: Stalkers race. Italian Dancer from gate 1 is the map horse of the day.
🏇 TOP 5 RUNNERS ANALYSIS
BRAIN WAVE (Barrier 8)
👥 Human Ratings:
- Trainer: Maryann Brosnan — Average
- Jockey: Brandon Lerena — Good
📊 Data Profile: - Race Rating: 100 | Current Rating: 30 | Time Rating: 88
- 10-Factor Score: 8/10
📝 The Report: - ✅ Pros: Top race rater. Strong finisher.
- ❌ Cons: Low current rating indicates a peak is needed.
Verdict: The finisher if the speed is on.
AMBASSADORS (Barrier 12)
👥 Human Ratings:
- Trainer: Jack Bruce — Average
- Jockey: Fiona Sandkuhl — Poor
📊 Data Profile: - Race Rating: 93 | Current Rating: 49 | Time Rating: 91
- 10-Factor Score: 7/10
📝 The Report: - ✅ Pros: Second highest race rating. Fast time rating.
- ❌ Cons: Gate 12 for a poor jockey.
Verdict: Statistical outlier, setup is ugly.
ITALIAN DANCER (Barrier 1)
👥 Human Ratings:
- Trainer: Stuart Kendrick — Good
- Jockey: Brandon Peisley — Good
📊 Data Profile: - Race Rating: 92 | Current Rating: 47 | Time Rating: 81
- 10-Factor Score: 9.5/10
📝 The Report: - ✅ Pros: Kendrick/Peisley combo. Won 2 of last 3. Fence draw.
- ❌ Cons: Poor time rating compared to favorite.
Verdict: The absolute map winner. Should be hard to beat.
AIMA SUN (Barrier 10)
👥 Human Ratings:
- Trainer: Allan Chau — Elite
- Jockey: Nozi Tomizawa — Shit House
📊 Data Profile: - Race Rating: 87 | Current Rating: 43 | Time Rating: 91
- 10-Factor Score: 8/10
📝 The Report: - ✅ Pros: Elite stable. High time rating.
- ❌ Cons: Terrible jockey/gate combo.
Verdict: Chau stable turns everything into gold on this track.
THE WELLIAN (Barrier 9)
👥 Human Ratings:
- Trainer: Grant Laming — Shit House
- Jockey: Scott Sheargold — Average
📊 Data Profile: - Race Rating: 84 | Current Rating: 48 | Time Rating: 90
- 10-Factor Score: 6/10
📝 The Report: - ✅ Pros: Recent course winner.
- ❌ Cons: Stable stats are horrific.
Verdict: Knockout exotic hope only.
💸 BETTING RECOMMENDATIONS
🏆 BEST BET: Italian Dancer
⚠️ DANGER/SAVER: Brain Wave
💰 ROUGHIE: Aima Sun (Projected >$10)
🚫 AVOID/LAY: Ambassadors (Projected <$10)
🔮 EXOTIC: Box: Italian Dancer, Brain Wave, Aima Sun, Ambassadors