CAULFIELD 09/05/2026 Racing Analysis Report

🏟️ TRACK BIAS & ENVIRONMENTAL REPORT

Track: Caulfield | Rail: Out 12m Entire Circuit | Expected Condition: Good 4 / Soft 5

Historical Bias Profile: When the rail is out 12m at Caulfield, there is a statistically significant advantage to horses that can settle in the first four (Lead/On-Pace). The “Caulfield Turn” becomes more pronounced, making it mathematically difficult for backmarkers to loop the field, especially with the rail providing a “fast lane” for those sticking to the inside. Historically, the 1000m-1200m chutes favor the inside 4 barriers heavily.

Today’s Adjustment: Horses drawn in barriers 1–6 are heavily favored in sprint races. In the staying races (2000m), look for those who can find the rail early. Any horse designated as a “Backmarker” in the speed maps below faces a -1.5 length mathematical handicap relative to the leaders.

RACE 1: Sportsbet Feed Handicap (1100m)

1. 🗺️ DETAILED SPEED MAP

Tempo Prediction: Fast

The Map:

• Leaders: Jarbardar (2), Natural Fling (3)
• On Pace: Ko Phangan (14), Shooting Brake (8), Je Suis Beyonce (1)
• Midfield: Aemond (9), Blue Meteor (13), Icelady (12)
• Backmarkers: King Koruna (7), Truant (4), Howcani Resistyou (10)

Bias Analysis: Jarbardar and Natural Fling are the primary beneficiaries of the 12m rail. They should control the speed. Ko Phangan faces a massive task from barrier 14 to cross this speed.

2. 🏇 TOP 5 RUNNERS ANALYSIS

JARBARDAR (Barrier 2)

• 👥 Human Ratings: Trainer: Craig Widdison — Good | Jockey: Jason Lyon — Poor
• 📊 Data Profile: Race Rating: 100 | Current Rating: 0 | Time Rating: 90 | 10-Factor Score: 8/10
• 📝 The Report:
  • ✅ Pros: Dominant 3.6L debut winner; Maps to lead or sit trail from perfect gate.
  • ❌ Cons: Significant step up in class; Jockey metrics are below market average.
  • Verdict: The clear ratings leader and map winner.

KO PHANGAN (Barrier 14)

• 👥 Human Ratings: Trainer: Busuttin/Young — Average | Jockey: Craig Williams — Good
• 📊 Data Profile: Race Rating: 89 | Current Rating: 20 | Time Rating: N/A | 10-Factor Score: 6/10
• 📝 The Report:
  • ✅ Pros: High-quality MM form; Huge jockey upgrade to Williams.
  • ❌ Cons: Death draw (14) with rail out; Long layoff (126 days).
  • Verdict: Talent is there but the map is a nightmare today.

SHOOTING BRAKE (Barrier 8)

• 👥 Human Ratings: Trainer: Dominic Sutton — Shit House | Jockey: Ben Allen — Elite
• 📊 Data Profile: Race Rating: 86 | Current Rating: N/A | Time Rating: N/A | 10-Factor Score: 7/10
• 📝 The Report:
  • ✅ Pros: Elite jockey booking; Excellent debut 2nd at this track.
  • ❌ Cons: Poor trainer form; Needs to settle in the “death” seat (OSP).
  • Verdict: The main danger to the favorite if the tempo is genuine.

HOWCANI RESISTYOU (Barrier 10)

• 👥 Human Ratings: Trainer: Lloyd Kennewell — Elite | Jockey: Logan Bates — Good
• 📊 Data Profile: Race Rating: 63 | Current Rating: 23 | Time Rating: N/A | 10-Factor Score: 5/10
• 📝 The Report:
  • ✅ Pros: Elite stable; Placed well on debut at Terang.
  • ❌ Cons: Wide gate; Ratings gap to the top three is substantial.
  • Verdict: A minor place chance if the favorites falter.

JE SUIS BEYONCE (Barrier 1)

• 👥 Human Ratings: Trainer: Moody/Coleman — Good | Jockey: Emily Pozman — Good
• 📊 Data Profile: Race Rating: 81 | Current Rating: 0 | Time Rating: N/A | 10-Factor Score: 6/10
• 📝 The Report:
  • ✅ Pros: Draws the paint (Barrier 1); Stable is flying with 2YOs.
  • ❌ Cons: Lacks the raw time ratings of Jarbardar.
  • Verdict: Best value play to run into a drum.

3. 💸 BETTING RECOMMENDATIONS

• 🏆 BEST BET: Jarbardar
• ⚠️ DANGER/SAVER: Shooting Brake
• 💰 ROUGHIE: Natural Fling
• 🚫 AVOID/LAY: Ko Phangan
• 🔮 EXOTIC: Box: Jarbardar, Shooting Brake, Je Suis Beyonce, Natural Fling

RACE 2: Thank You Lynden Tymms (2000m)

1. 🗺️ DETAILED SPEED MAP

Tempo Prediction: Average

The Map:

• Leaders: Xtra Rush (10), A Diva (7)
• On Pace: Regal Lion (4), Dreams Come True (9)
• Midfield: Haaracaine (11), Cadogan (5), Fernao (2)
• Backmarkers: Almairac (14), Autumn Slide (1), Powerful Torque (12)

Bias Analysis: Xtra Rush has the speed to cross. With the rail out 12m, those coming from the back like Haaracaine will find it impossible to make ground if the tempo is slow.

2. 🏇 TOP 5 RUNNERS ANALYSIS

XTRA RUSH (Barrier 10)

• 👥 Human Ratings: Trainer: Richard Laming — Elite | Jockey: Jye McNeil — Good
• 📊 Data Profile: Race Rating: 100 | Current Rating: 60 | Time Rating: N/A | 10-Factor Score: 9/10
• 📝 The Report:
  • ✅ Pros: Tactical lead speed; Drops 500m in distance which suits front-runners here.
  • ❌ Cons: Barrier 10; Needs to work early.
  • Verdict: The statistical “Lock” of the race based on map and rating.

HAARACAINE (Barrier 11)

• 👥 Human Ratings: Trainer: Nick Ryan — Good | Jockey: Ben Allen — Elite
• 📊 Data Profile: Race Rating: 97 | Current Rating: 57 | Time Rating: 89 | 10-Factor Score: 8/10
• 📝 The Report:
  • ✅ Pros: Elite jockey; Unbeaten at this specific distance (2000m).
  • ❌ Cons: Map is tricky; Wide gate with a short run to the first turn.
  • Verdict: The high-quality danger; better horse but worse map.

BOLD STRIKE (Barrier 15)

• 👥 Human Ratings: Trainer: Ciaron Maher — Good | Jockey: Jamie Mott — Good
• 📊 Data Profile: Race Rating: 93 | Current Rating: 54 | Time Rating: 91 | 10-Factor Score: 7/10
• 📝 The Report:
  • ✅ Pros: Hat-trick seeker; Stable is the best in the country at this distance.
  • ❌ Cons: Barrier 15; Statistically, horses from this gate at 2000m struggle.
  • Verdict: Winning form is hard to ignore, but the draw is a severe penalty.

CURSE IT (Barrier 8)

• 👥 Human Ratings: Trainer: Greg Eurell — Average | Jockey: Logan Bates — Good
• 📊 Data Profile: Race Rating: 91 | Current Rating: 54 | Time Rating: 93 | 10-Factor Score: 7/10
• 📝 The Report:
  • ✅ Pros: High time ratings (93); Consistent profile.
  • ❌ Cons: Unknown at 2000m; Average trainer rating.
  • Verdict: Solid place prospect if he handles the trip.

DREAMS COME TRUE (Barrier 9)

• 👥 Human Ratings: Trainer: Mick Price/Kent Jnr — Elite | Jockey: Beau Mertens — Average
• 📊 Data Profile: Race Rating: 84 | Current Rating: 53 | Time Rating: 96 | 10-Factor Score: 7/10
• 📝 The Report:
  • ✅ Pros: Highest time rating (96); Elite stable prep.
  • ❌ Cons: Needs luck in running; Beau Mertens metrics are average.
  • Verdict: The “Sharps” horse. Watch market moves.

3. 💸 BETTING RECOMMENDATIONS

• 🏆 BEST BET: Xtra Rush
• ⚠️ DANGER/SAVER: Haaracaine
• 💰 ROUGHIE: Autumn Slide
• 🚫 AVOID/LAY: Bold Strike
• 🔮 EXOTIC: Box: Xtra Rush, Haaracaine, Dreams Come True, Curse It

RACE 3: Tobin Brothers Celebrating Lives Handicap (1600m)

1. 🗺️ DETAILED SPEED MAP

Tempo Prediction: Average

The Map:

• Leaders: Jett Smash (14), Cooly (11)
• On Pace: Hot Sand (10), Bona Sforza (1), Sunlit Serenade (8)
• Midfield: West Of Swindon (12), Himalayan (6)
• Backmarkers: Azazel (9), Rising Star (2)

Bias Analysis: Bona Sforza has the “Golden Ticket” in barrier 1. Jett Smash will have to work hard to cross.

2. 🏇 TOP 5 RUNNERS ANALYSIS

JETT SMASH (Barrier 14)

• 👥 Human Ratings: Trainer: Danny O’Brien — Good | Jockey: Billy Egan — Average
• 📊 Data Profile: Race Rating: 100 | Current Rating: 47 | Time Rating: N/A | 10-Factor Score: 8/10
• 📝 The Report:
  • ✅ Pros: Chasing 4th win in a row; Highest race rating.
  • ❌ Cons: Barrier 14; 1600m for the first time.
  • Verdict: The class runner but a risky price from the gate.

RISING STAR (Barrier 2)

• 👥 Human Ratings: Trainer: Busuttin/Young — Average | Jockey: Beau Mertens — Average
• 📊 Data Profile: Race Rating: 97 | Current Rating: 50 | Time Rating: 90 | 10-Factor Score: 8/10
• 📝 The Report:
  • ✅ Pros: Draws to settle much closer today; Good time ratings.
  • ❌ Cons: Human ratings are mediocre.
  • Verdict: The most likely winner if Jett Smash gets stuck wide.

BONA SFORZA (Barrier 1)

• 👥 Human Ratings: Trainer: Samantha Finnegan — Poor | Jockey: Logan Bates — Good
• 📊 Data Profile: Race Rating: 92 | Current Rating: 0 | Time Rating: N/A | 10-Factor Score: 7/10
• 📝 The Report:
  • ✅ Pros: Barrier 1; Group 1 experience in NZ; Down significantly in class.
  • ❌ Cons: Floped last start; Unproven in Aus Saturday grade.
  • Verdict: The ultimate “Boom or Bust” horse.

COOLY (Barrier 11)

• 👥 Human Ratings: Trainer: Moody/Coleman — Good | Jockey: Linda Meech — Elite
• 📊 Data Profile: Race Rating: 91 | Current Rating: 41 | Time Rating: N/A | 10-Factor Score: 7/10
• 📝 The Report:
  • ✅ Pros: Linda Meech on a front-runner; Stable is firing.
  • ❌ Cons: Wide gate; Distance query.
  • Verdict: Will give a massive sight if she can cross.

HIMALAYAN (Barrier 6)

• 👥 Human Ratings: Trainer: Browne — Shit House | Jockey: Jye McNeil — Good
• 📊 Data Profile: Race Rating: 86 | Current Rating: 35 | Time Rating: N/A | 10-Factor Score: 6/10
• 📝 The Report:
  • ✅ Pros: Last start dominant winner; Proven at distance.
  • ❌ Cons: Poor trainer rating; Class rise.
  • Verdict: Solid exotic inclusion.

3. 💸 BETTING RECOMMENDATIONS

• 🏆 BEST BET: Rising Star
• ⚠️ DANGER/SAVER: Jett Smash
• 💰 ROUGHIE: Bona Sforza
• 🚫 AVOID/LAY: West Of Swindon
• 🔮 EXOTIC: Box: Rising Star, Jett Smash, Bona Sforza, Cooly

RACE 4: Lamaro’s Hotel Handicap (1440m)

1. 🗺️ DETAILED SPEED MAP

Tempo Prediction: Average

The Map:

• Leaders: White Hot Mama (5), Jewel Of Heaven (8)
• On Pace: Exit (4), Bella Verona (1), Go Left (3)
• Midfield: Prestige Snitzel (2), Alzaro (7)
• Backmarkers: Chateau Eze (10), Cherish Me (11)

Bias Analysis: White Hot Mama is the map specialist here. Bella Verona from barrier 1 is perfectly suited to sit in the pocket.

2. 🏇 TOP 5 RUNNERS ANALYSIS

WHITE HOT MAMA (Barrier 5)

• 👥 Human Ratings: Trainer: Clinton McDonald — Elite | Jockey: Dakotah Keane — Good
• 📊 Data Profile: Race Rating: 100 | Current Rating: 37 | Time Rating: N/A | 10-Factor Score: 9/10
• 📝 The Report:
  • ✅ Pros: Undefeated this prep; Maps to lead/control; Elite trainer.
  • ❌ Cons: Class rise; First time at 1440m.
  • Verdict: Clearly the one to beat.

BELLA VERONA (Barrier 1)

• 👥 Human Ratings: Trainer: Matt Laurie — Average | Jockey: Harry Coffey — Good
• 📊 Data Profile: Race Rating: 79 | Current Rating: 0 | Time Rating: N/A | 10-Factor Score: 8/10
• 📝 The Report:
  • ✅ Pros: Barrier 1; Harry Coffey factor; Dominant debut winner.
  • ❌ Cons: Only a maiden winner; Big jump in grade.
  • Verdict: The most logical danger and potential star.

GO LEFT (Barrier 3)

• 👥 Human Ratings: Trainer: Moody/Coleman — Good | Jockey: Emily Pozman — Good
• 📊 Data Profile: Race Rating: 77 | Current Rating: 41 | Time Rating: N/A | 10-Factor Score: 7/10
• 📝 The Report:
  • ✅ Pros: Track specialist; Perfect draw; Drops in grade.
  • ❌ Cons: Long time between wins (197 days).
  • Verdict: Solid each-way contender.

TWO TO TANGO (Barrier 6)

• 👥 Human Ratings: Trainer: Hayes — Good | Jockey: Craig Williams — Good
• 📊 Data Profile: Race Rating: 76 | Current Rating: 45 | Time Rating: N/A | 10-Factor Score: 7/10
• 📝 The Report:
  • ✅ Pros: Craig Williams booking; Consistent Saturday form.
  • ❌ Cons: Lacks the win strike rate of White Hot Mama.
  • Verdict: Place banker.

EXIT (Barrier 4)

• 👥 Human Ratings: Trainer: Ciaron Maher — Good | Jockey: N/A — Good
• 📊 Data Profile: Race Rating: 69 | Current Rating: 40 | Time Rating: 91 | 10-Factor Score: 7/10
• 📝 The Report:
  • ✅ Pros: Only G2 winner in the field; Good time rating (91).
  • ❌ Cons: Carries 60kg; Ratings have plateaued.
  • Verdict: Class runner who will be thereabouts.

3. 💸 BETTING RECOMMENDATIONS

• 🏆 BEST BET: White Hot Mama
• ⚠️ DANGER/SAVER: Bella Verona
• 💰 ROUGHIE: Go Left
• 🚫 AVOID/LAY: Cherish Me
• 🔮 EXOTIC: Box: White Hot Mama, Bella Verona, Go Left, Exit

RACE 5: ive > Handicap (1600m)

1. 🗺️ DETAILED SPEED MAP

Tempo Prediction: Average

The Map:

• Leaders: Highlights (6), Nation’s Call (11)
• On Pace: Everain (5), Angry Skies (7)
• Midfield: Oceana Dream (9), Farhh Flung (2)
• Backmarkers: Belle Savoir (1), Nana’s Wish (10)

2. 🏇 TOP 5 RUNNERS ANALYSIS

OCEANA DREAM (Barrier 9)

• 👥 Human Ratings: Trainer: Moody/Coleman — Good | Jockey: Linda Meech — Elite
• 📊 Data Profile: Race Rating: 100 | Current Rating: 0 | Time Rating: N/A | 10-Factor Score: 9/10
• Verdict: Ratings standout after a dominant last-start win.

EVERAIN (Barrier 5)

• 👥 Human Ratings: Trainer: Anthony & Sam Freedman — Elite | Jockey: Craig Williams — Good
• 📊 Data Profile: Race Rating: 79 | Current Rating: 54 | Time Rating: 95 | 10-Factor Score: 8/10
• Verdict: High time rating (95) and elite stable. The main danger.

ANGRY SKIES (Barrier 7)

• 👥 Human Ratings: Trainer: Hayes — Good | Jockey: Ben Allen — Elite
• 📊 Data Profile: Race Rating: 77 | Current Rating: 55 | Time Rating: 91 | 10-Factor Score: 7/10
• Verdict: Elite jockey booking. Very consistent at this level.

HIGHLIGHTS (Barrier 6)

• 👥 Human Ratings: Trainer: Nick Ryan — Good | Jockey: Dakotah Keane — Good
• 📊 Data Profile: Race Rating: 77 | Current Rating: 63 | Time Rating: 92 | 10-Factor Score: 7/10
• Verdict: Map specialist who will look to dictate from the front.

NARBOLD (Barrier 8)

• 👥 Human Ratings: Trainer: Chris Waller — Good | Jockey: Jye McNeil — Good
• 📊 Data Profile: Race Rating: 76 | Current Rating: 53 | Time Rating: 94 | 10-Factor Score: 6/10
• Verdict: Resuming for the premier stable; keep safe.

3. 💸 BETTING RECOMMENDATIONS

• 🏆 BEST BET: Oceana Dream
• ⚠️ DANGER/SAVER: Everain
• 💰 ROUGHIE: Highlights
• 🚫 AVOID/LAY: Nation’s Call
• 🔮 EXOTIC: Box: Oceana Dream, Everain, Angry Skies, Highlights

RACE 6: Sportsbet Get On Extra Handicap (1000m)

1. 🗺️ DETAILED SPEED MAP

Tempo Prediction: Fast

The Map:

• Leaders: Philosopher (12), Katsu (1), Port Albert (11)
• On Pace: Tristate (7), Perilous Fighter (2)
• Midfield: Bustling (6), Piastri (13)

2. 🏇 TOP 5 RUNNERS ANALYSIS

PHILOSOPHER (Barrier 12)

• 👥 Human Ratings: Trainer: Enver Jusufovic — Elite | Jockey: Emily Pozman — Good
• 📊 Data Profile: Race Rating: 100 | Current Rating: 58 | Time Rating: 91 | 10-Factor Score: 8/10
• Verdict: Pure speed. The highest rater but has to deal with the wide gate.

KATSU (Barrier 1)

• 👥 Human Ratings: Trainer: Gavin Bedggood — Good | Jockey: Logan Bates — Good
• 📊 Data Profile: Race Rating: 98 | Current Rating: 60 | Time Rating: 90 | 10-Factor Score: 8/10
• Verdict: 1000m specialist. Barrier 1 gives him a massive map advantage.

PORT ALBERT (Barrier 11)

• 👥 Human Ratings: Trainer: Nick Ryan — Good | Jockey: Jackson Radley — Average
• 📊 Data Profile: Race Rating: 86 | Current Rating: 55 | Time Rating: 88 | 10-Factor Score: 7/10
• Verdict: Flying this prep; deserves respect despite class rise.

PERILOUS FIGHTER (Barrier 2)

• 👥 Human Ratings: Trainer: Clayton Douglas — Average | Jockey: Beau Mertens — Average
• 📊 Data Profile: Race Rating: 82 | Current Rating: 55 | Time Rating: 89 | 10-Factor Score: 7/10
• Verdict: Perfect map sitting just behind the hot speed.

ELOUYOU (Barrier 8)

• 👥 Human Ratings: Trainer: Scott Cameron — Good | Jockey: Harry Coffey — Good
• 📊 Data Profile: Race Rating: 78 | Current Rating: 53 | Time Rating: 97 | 10-Factor Score: 9/10
• Verdict: Highest Time Rating (97). If they go too hard, he launches.

3. 💸 BETTING RECOMMENDATIONS

• 🏆 BEST BET: Katsu
• ⚠️ DANGER/SAVER: Philosopher
• 💰 ROUGHIE: Elouyou
• 🚫 AVOID/LAY: Bustling
• 🔮 EXOTIC: Box: Katsu, Philosopher, Elouyou, Perilous Fighter

RACE 7: Evergreen Turf Handicap (1440m)

1. 🗺️ DETAILED SPEED MAP

Tempo Prediction: Average

The Map:

• Leaders: Brave One (1), Cartoon Graveyard (5)
• On Pace: Marble Arch (10), Jimmy The Bear (8)
• Midfield: El Rocko (7), Green Fly (3)

2. 🏇 TOP 5 RUNNERS ANALYSIS

BRAVE ONE (Barrier 1)

• 👥 Human Ratings: Trainer: Hawkes — Average | Jockey: Jye McNeil — Good
• 📊 Data Profile: Race Rating: 100 | Current Rating: 58 | Time Rating: 93 | 10-Factor Score: 9/10
• Verdict: Leader, Barrier 1, Race Rating 100. Hard to beat.

CARTOON GRAVEYARD (Barrier 5)

• 👥 Human Ratings: Trainer: John Keys — Average | Jockey: Craig Newitt — Average
• 📊 Data Profile: Race Rating: 85 | Current Rating: 57 | Time Rating: 94 | 10-Factor Score: 8/10
• Verdict: Tassie star with huge time ratings; the main threat.

MARBLE ARCH (Barrier 10)

• 👥 Human Ratings: Trainer: Hayes — Good | Jockey: Logan Bates — Good
• 📊 Data Profile: Race Rating: 84 | Current Rating: 60 | Time Rating: 95 | 10-Factor Score: 7/10
• Verdict: Classy mare returning to form; map is the only query.

EL ROCKO (Barrier 7)

• 👥 Human Ratings: Trainer: John McArdle — Average | Jockey: Jamie Mott — Good
• 📊 Data Profile: Race Rating: 84 | Current Rating: 57 | Time Rating: 91 | 10-Factor Score: 7/10
• Verdict: Honest performer who is always in the finish.

GREEN FLY (Barrier 3)

• 👥 Human Ratings: Trainer: Anthony & Sam Freedman — Elite | Jockey: Damien Thornton — Poor
• 📊 Data Profile: Race Rating: 79 | Current Rating: 59 | Time Rating: 90 | 10-Factor Score: 6/10
• Verdict: Elite stable; perfect draw to save ground.

3. 💸 BETTING RECOMMENDATIONS

• 🏆 BEST BET: Brave One
• ⚠️ DANGER/SAVER: Cartoon Graveyard
• 💰 ROUGHIE: Give Me Space
• 🚫 AVOID/LAY: Jimmy The Bear
• 🔮 EXOTIC: Box: Brave One, Cartoon Graveyard, Marble Arch, El Rocko

RACE 8: Lamaro’s After The Last Handicap (2000m)

1. 🗺️ DETAILED SPEED MAP

Tempo Prediction: Average

The Map:

• Leaders: Smokin’ Romans (14), Land Legend (4)
• On Pace: Brayden Star (5), Etna Rosso (9)
• Midfield: Immediacy (6), Pounding (8)

2. 🏇 TOP 5 RUNNERS ANALYSIS

IMMEDIACY (Barrier 6)

• 👥 Human Ratings: Trainer: Busuttin/Young — Average | Jockey: Craig Williams — Good
• 📊 Data Profile: Race Rating: 92 | Current Rating: 60 | Time Rating: 94 | 10-Factor Score: 9/10
• Verdict: Convergence of map and time ratings. Top pick.

POUNDING (Barrier 8)

• 👥 Human Ratings: Trainer: Moody/Coleman — Good | Jockey: Emily Pozman — Good
• 📊 Data Profile: Race Rating: 94 | Current Rating: 65 | Time Rating: 88 | 10-Factor Score: 8/10
• Verdict: Class standout. Drops in grade and is ready to win.

SAYEDATY SADATY (Barrier 1)

• 👥 Human Ratings: Trainer: Ciaron Maher — Good | Jockey: N/A — Good
• 📊 Data Profile: Race Rating: 90 | Current Rating: 56 | Time Rating: 76 | 10-Factor Score: 7/10
• Verdict: Inside gate and Maher stable; will stay all day.

ETNA ROSSO (Barrier 9)

• 👥 Human Ratings: Trainer: Chris Waller — Good | Jockey: Jye McNeil — Good
• 📊 Data Profile: Race Rating: 85 | Current Rating: 61 | Time Rating: 94 | 10-Factor Score: 7/10
• Verdict: Strong time ratings; Waller/McNeil combo is deadly.

BRAYDEN STAR (Barrier 5)

• 👥 Human Ratings: Trainer: Busuttin/Young — Average | Jockey: Craig Newitt — Average
• 📊 Data Profile: Race Rating: 85 | Current Rating: 61 | Time Rating: 92 | 10-Factor Score: 7/10
• Verdict: Reliable place-getter who gets a soft run.

3. 💸 BETTING RECOMMENDATIONS

• 🏆 BEST BET: Immediacy
• ⚠️ DANGER/SAVER: Pounding
• 💰 ROUGHIE: Star Vega
• 🚫 AVOID/LAY: Land Legend
• 🔮 EXOTIC: Box: Immediacy, Pounding, Etna Rosso, Brayden Star

RACE 9: Sportsbet Bet With Mates Handicap (1200m)

1. 🗺️ DETAILED SPEED MAP

Tempo Prediction: Fast

The Map:

• Leaders: Blue Hotel (3), Swift Force (10)
• On Pace: Delicate Lady (6), Royal Lass (7)
• Midfield: Sun Setting (9), Glasgow Lass (4)

2. 🏇 TOP 5 RUNNERS ANALYSIS

SWIFT FORCE (Barrier 10)

• 👥 Human Ratings: Trainer: John Keys — Average | Jockey: Craig Newitt — Average
• 📊 Data Profile: Race Rating: 96 | Current Rating: 42 | Time Rating: 83 | 10-Factor Score: 8/10
• Verdict: Tasmanian speed machine. The ratings pick.

SUN SETTING (Barrier 9)

• 👥 Human Ratings: Trainer: Matt Laurie — Average | Jockey: Dakotah Keane — Good
• 📊 Data Profile: Race Rating: 93 | Current Rating: 49 | Time Rating: 93 | 10-Factor Score: 8/10
• Verdict: Top time rater in great form.

PER SEMPRE (Barrier 15)

• 👥 Human Ratings: Trainer: Charles Cassar — Poor | Jockey: Brad Rawiller — Good
• 📊 Data Profile: Race Rating: 82 | Current Rating: 46 | Time Rating: 87 | 10-Factor Score: 7/10
• Verdict: Talented but the barrier is a massive hurdle.

DELICATE LADY (Barrier 6)

• 👥 Human Ratings: Trainer: Jerome Hunter — Good | Jockey: Jamie Mott — Good
• 📊 Data Profile: Race Rating: 80 | Current Rating: 24 | Time Rating: N/A | 10-Factor Score: 7/10
• Verdict: Perfect map to run into a drum.

RUNLIKENENCRYPTION (Barrier 11)

• 👥 Human Ratings: Trainer: Ben Brisbourne — Good | Jockey: Jackson Radley — Average
• 📊 Data Profile: Race Rating: 77 | Current Rating: 53 | Time Rating: 95 | 10-Factor Score: 7/10
• Verdict: Elite time ratings; keep very safe.

3. 💸 BETTING RECOMMENDATIONS

• 🏆 BEST BET: Sun Setting
• ⚠️ DANGER/SAVER: Swift Force
• 💰 ROUGHIE: Delicate Lady
• 🚫 AVOID/LAY: Glasgow Lass
• 🔮 EXOTIC: Box: Sun Setting, Swift Force, Delicate Lady, Runlikenencryption

📘 THE $100 PLAY BOOK

• R1: Jarbardar – WIN – $20
• R2: Xtra Rush – WIN – $25
• R4: White Hot Mama – WIN – $20
• R7: Brave One – WIN – $15
• R8: Immediacy – WIN – $20

🧩 THE QUADDIE STRATEGY ($50 Budget)

• Leg 1: Katsu, Philosopher, Elouyou
• Leg 2: Brave One, Cartoon Graveyard, Marble Arch
• Leg 3: Immediacy, Pounding, Etna Rosso
• Leg 4: Sun Setting, Swift Force, Delicate Lady
• Flexi: 13% for $50.

Prices and ratings correct at time of analysis. Please bet within your means. Human ratings are statistical derivations from provided data.